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Marco Ajelli
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The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
M Chinazzi, JT Davis, M Ajelli, C Gioannini, M Litvinova, S Merler, ...
Science 368 (6489), 395-400, 2020
44392020
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
J Zhang, M Litvinova, Y Liang, Y Wang, W Wang, S Zhao, Q Wu, S Merler, ...
Science 368 (6498), 1481-1486, 2020
13362020
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
A Aleta, D Martín-Corral, AP y Piontti, M Ajelli, M Litvinova, M Chinazzi, ...
Nature Human Behaviour 4 (9), 964-971, 2020
918*2020
Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study
J Zhang, M Litvinova, W Wang, Y Wang, X Deng, X Chen, M Li, W Zheng, ...
The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20 (7), 793-802, 2020
8432020
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy
D Cereda, M Manica, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, ...
Epidemics 37, 100528, 2021
510*2021
Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2
K Sun, W Wang, L Gao, Y Wang, K Luo, L Ren, Z Zhan, X Chen, S Zhao, ...
Science 371 (6526), eabe2424, 2021
4552021
Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
M Ajelli, B Gonçalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, J Ramasco, S Merler, ...
BMC Infectious Diseases 10 (1), 190, 2010
3892010
The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza
S Merler, M Ajelli
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 277 (1681), 557-565, 2010
3692010
Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis
S Merler, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, AP y Piontti, L Rossi, ...
The Lancet Infectious Diseases 384 (9961), 2201-2206, 2015
339*2015
Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020
F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ...
Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020
328*2020
Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy
P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ...
JAMA Network Open 4 (3), e211085-e211085, 2021
279*2021
Modeling transmission of SARS-CoV-2 omicron in China
J Cai, X Deng, J Yang, K Sun, H Liu, Z Chen, C Peng, X Chen, Q Wu, ...
Nature Medicine 28 (7), 1468-1475, 2022
2742022
Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks
QH Liu, M Ajelli, A Aleta, S Merler, Y Moreno, A Vespignani
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (50), 12680-12685, 2018
2632018
Serological evidence of human infection with SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis
X Chen, Z Chen, AS Azman, X Deng, X Chen, W Lu, Z Zhao, J Yang, ...
The Lancet Global Health 9 (5), E598-E609, 2021
2592021
The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt
C Viboud, K Sun, R Gaffey, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, S Merler, Q Zhang, ...
Epidemics 22, 13-21, 2018
2582018
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling
D Mistry, M Litvinova, AP y Piontti, M Chinazzi, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, ...
Nature Communications 12, 323, 2021
2572021
Inferring the structure of social contacts from demographic data in the analysis of infectious diseases spread
L Fumanelli, M Ajelli, P Manfredi, A Vespignani, S Merler
PLOS Computational Biology 8 (9), e1002673, 2012
2452012
The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics
P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler
PLOS ONE 6 (2), e16460, 2011
2302011
Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios
ML Ciofi degli Atti, S Merler, C Rizzo, M Ajelli, M Massari, P Manfredi, ...
PLOS ONE 3 (3), e1790, 2008
2272008
Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics
P Poletti, B Caprile, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, S Merler
Journal of Theoretical Biology 260 (1), 31-40, 2009
2112009
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