The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling DIV Domeisen, AH Butler, AJ Charlton‐Perez, B Ayarzagüena, ... Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125 (2), e2019JD030923, 2020 | 292 | 2020 |
The Southern Hemisphere minor sudden stratospheric warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S models J Rao, CI Garfinkel, IP White, C Schwartz Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125 (14), e2020JD032723, 2020 | 102 | 2020 |
Extratropical atmospheric predictability from the quasi‐biennial oscillation in subseasonal forecast models CI Garfinkel, C Schwartz, DIV Domeisen, SW Son, AH Butler, IP White Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123 (15), 7855-7866, 2018 | 68 | 2018 |
MJO‐related tropical convection anomalies lead to more accurate stratospheric vortex variability in subseasonal forecast models CI Garfinkel, C Schwartz Geophysical research letters 44 (19), 10,054-10,062, 2017 | 67 | 2017 |
Relative roles of the MJO and stratospheric variability in North Atlantic and European winter climate C Schwartz, CI Garfinkel Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122 (8), 4184-4201, 2017 | 60 | 2017 |
Advances in the prediction of MJO teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems C Stan, C Zheng, EKM Chang, DIV Domeisen, CI Garfinkel, AM Jenney, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 103 (6), E1426-E1447, 2022 | 48 | 2022 |
Troposphere‐stratosphere coupling in subseasonal‐to‐seasonal models and its importance for a realistic extratropical response to the Madden‐Julian oscillation C Schwartz, CI Garfinkel Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 125 (10), e2019JD032043, 2020 | 35 | 2020 |
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems ZD Lawrence, M Abalos, B Ayarzagüena, D Barriopedro, AH Butler, ... Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions 2022, 1-37, 2022 | 28 | 2022 |
The winter North Pacific teleconnection in response to ENSO and the MJO in operational subseasonal forecasting models is too weak CI Garfinkel, W Chen, Y Li, C Schwartz, P Yadav, D Domeisen Journal of Climate 35 (24), 8013-8030, 2022 | 27 | 2022 |
Weakening of the teleconnection from El Niño–Southern Oscillation to the Arctic stratosphere over the past few decades: What can be learned from subseasonal forecast models? CI Garfinkel, C Schwartz, AH Butler, DIV Domeisen, SW Son, IP White Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124 (14), 7683-7696, 2019 | 27 | 2019 |
Predictability of the early winter Arctic oscillation from autumn Eurasian snowcover in subseasonal forecast models CI Garfinkel, C Schwartz, IP White, J Rao Climate Dynamics 55, 961-974, 2020 | 26 | 2020 |
Stationary wave biases and their effect on upward troposphere–stratosphere coupling in sub-seasonal prediction models C Schwartz, CI Garfinkel, P Yadav, W Chen, DIV Domeisen Weather and Climate Dynamics 3 (2), 679-692, 2022 | 14 | 2022 |
The power distribution between symmetric and antisymmetric components of the tropical wavenumber–frequency spectrum O Shamir, C Schwartz, CI Garfinkel, N Paldor Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 78 (6), 1983-1998, 2021 | 8 | 2021 |
984 White, IP (2018). Extratropical Atmospheric Predictability From the Quasi-985 Biennial Oscillation in Subseasonal Forecast Models CI Garfinkel, C Schwartz, DIV Domeisen, SW Son, AH Butler Journal of Geophysical 986, 7855-7866, 0 | 7 | |
Precursors of summer heat waves in the Eastern Mediterranean CI Garfinkel, D Rostkier‐Edelstein, E Morin, A Hochman, C Schwartz, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 150 (763), 3757-3773, 2024 | 4 | 2024 |
The predictability of the downward versus non‐downward propagation of sudden stratospheric warmings in S2S hindcasts DM Nebel, CI Garfinkel, J Cohen, DIV Domeisen, J Rao, C Schwartz Geophysical Research Letters 51 (16), e2024GL110529, 2024 | 1 | 2024 |
Development of the signal‐to‐noise paradox in subseasonal forecasting models: When? Where? Why? CI Garfinkel, J Knight, M Taguchi, C Schwartz, J Cohen, W Chen, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 150 (764), 4417-4436, 2024 | | 2024 |
The Winter North Pacific Teleconnection in Response to ENSO and the MJO in Operational Subseasonal Forecasting Models Is Too Weak C Schwartz, C Garfinkel, W Chen, Y Li, P Yadav, DIV Domeisen EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, EGU-8258, 2023 | | 2023 |