| Skillful long‐range prediction of European and North American winters AA Scaife, A Arribas, E Blockley, A Brookshaw, RT Clark, N Dunstone, ... Geophysical Research Letters 41 (7), 2514-2519, 2014 | 813 | 2014 |
| Skilful predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead N Dunstone, D Smith, A Scaife, L Hermanson, R Eade, N Robinson, ... Nature Geoscience 9 (11), 809-814, 2016 | 370 | 2016 |
| Do seasonal‐to‐decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world? R Eade, D Smith, A Scaife, E Wallace, N Dunstone, L Hermanson, ... Geophysical research letters 41 (15), 5620-5628, 2014 | 359 | 2014 |
| North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply DM Smith, AA Scaife, R Eade, P Athanasiadis, A Bellucci, I Bethke, ... Nature 583 (7818), 796-800, 2020 | 274 | 2020 |
| Robust skill of decadal climate predictions DM Smith, R Eade, AA Scaife, LP Caron, G Danabasoglu, TM DelSole, ... Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2 (1), 13, 2019 | 208 | 2019 |
| Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown DM Smith, BBB Booth, NJ Dunstone, R Eade, L Hermanson, GS Jones, ... Nature Climate Change 6 (10), 936-940, 2016 | 191 | 2016 |
| Historical simulations with HadGEM3‐GC3. 1 for CMIP6 MB Andrews, JK Ridley, RA Wood, T Andrews, EW Blockley, B Booth, ... Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12 (6), e2019MS001995, 2020 | 178 | 2020 |
| Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms NJ Dunstone, DM Smith, BBB Booth, L Hermanson, R Eade Nature Geoscience 6 (7), 534-539, 2013 | 162 | 2013 |
| Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss DM Smith, R Eade, MB Andrews, H Ayres, A Clark, S Chripko, C Deser, ... Nature communications 13 (1), 727, 2022 | 159 | 2022 |
| Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions DM Smith, AA Scaife, GJ Boer, M Caian, FJ Doblas-Reyes, V Guemas, ... Climate dynamics 41, 2875-2888, 2013 | 139 | 2013 |
| Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system J Camp, M Roberts, C MacLachlan, E Wallace, L Hermanson, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141 (691), 2206-2219, 2015 | 126 | 2015 |
| Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts L Hermanson, R Eade, NH Robinson, NJ Dunstone, MB Andrews, ... Geophysical research letters 41 (14), 5167-5174, 2014 | 104 | 2014 |
| A multisystem view of wintertime NAO seasonal predictions PJ Athanasiadis, A Bellucci, AA Scaife, L Hermanson, S Materia, A Sanna, ... Journal of Climate 30 (4), 1461-1475, 2017 | 99 | 2017 |
| WMO global annual to decadal climate update: a prediction for 2021–25 L Hermanson, D Smith, M Seabrook, R Bilbao, F Doblas-Reyes, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 103 (4), E1117-E1129, 2022 | 76 | 2022 |
| Skilful predictions of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation one year ahead, Nat. Geosci., 9, 809–814 N Dunstone, D Smith, A Scaife, L Hermanson, R Eade, N Robinson, ... | 76 | 2016 |
| Improved decadal predictions of North Atlantic subpolar gyre SST in CMIP6 LF Borchert, MB Menary, D Swingedouw, G Sgubin, L Hermanson, ... Geophysical Research Letters 48 (3), e2020GL091307, 2021 | 74 | 2021 |
| Skilful seasonal predictions of summer European rainfall N Dunstone, D Smith, A Scaife, L Hermanson, D Fereday, C O'Reilly, ... Geophysical Research Letters 45 (7), 3246-3254, 2018 | 69 | 2018 |
| Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 C DM Smith, AA Scaife, E Hawkins, R Bilbao, GJ Boer, M Caian, LP Caron, ... Geophysical Research Letters 45 (21), 11,895-11,903, 2018 | 61 | 2018 |
| Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems AA Scaife, L Ferranti, O Alves, P Athanasiadis, J Baehr, M Dequé, T Dippe, ... International Journal of Climatology 39 (2), 974-988, 2019 | 57 | 2019 |
| Predictability of European winter 2015/2016 AA Scaife, R Comer, N Dunstone, D Fereday, C Folland, E Good, ... Atmospheric Science Letters 18 (2), 38-44, 2017 | 56 | 2017 |
