Model averaging in ecology: A review of Bayesian, information‐theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference
In ecology, the true causal structure for a given problem is often not known, and several
plausible models and thus model predictions exist. It has been claimed that using weighted …
plausible models and thus model predictions exist. It has been claimed that using weighted …
Why are species' traits weak predictors of range shifts?
We examine the evidence linking species' traits to contemporary range shifts and find they
are poor predictors of range shifts that have occurred over decades to a century. We then …
are poor predictors of range shifts that have occurred over decades to a century. We then …
The challenge of novel abiotic conditions for species undergoing climate‐induced range shifts
Coincident with recent global warming, species have shifted their geographic distributions to
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …
Beyond a warming fingerprint: individualistic biogeographic responses to heterogeneous climate change in California
Understanding recent biogeographic responses to climate change is fundamental for
improving our predictions of likely future responses and guiding conservation planning at …
improving our predictions of likely future responses and guiding conservation planning at …
Priority areas for biodiversity conservation in mainland Ecuador
Ecuador's territory harbors a unique set of species and ecosystems, many of them endemic
to the countries' territory and subject to different sources of threat of anthropogenic origin …
to the countries' territory and subject to different sources of threat of anthropogenic origin …
Using species distributions models for designing conservation strategies of Tropical Andean biodiversity under climate change
Abstract Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes is under continuous threat from anthropogenic
activities. Projected changes in climate will likely exacerbate this situation. Using species …
activities. Projected changes in climate will likely exacerbate this situation. Using species …
Testing the ability of species distribution models to infer variable importance
Models of species' distributions and niches are frequently used to infer the importance of
range‐and niche‐defining variables. However, the degree to which these models can …
range‐and niche‐defining variables. However, the degree to which these models can …
[HTML][HTML] Expert-based and correlative models to map habitat quality: Which gives better support to conservation planning?
Biodiversity loss and habitat degradation are big challenges to be tackled by conservation
planning since their effects on both ecological and social-economic systems are remarkably …
planning since their effects on both ecological and social-economic systems are remarkably …
How complex should models be? Comparing correlative and mechanistic range dynamics models
Criticism has been levelled at climate‐change‐induced forecasts of species range shifts that
do not account explicitly for complex population dynamics. The relative importance of such …
do not account explicitly for complex population dynamics. The relative importance of such …
Modeling the rarest of the rare: A comparison between multi‐species distribution models, ensembles of small models, and single‐species models at extremely low …
Species distribution models are useful for estimating the distribution and environmental
preferences of rare species, but these same species are challenging to model on account of …
preferences of rare species, but these same species are challenging to model on account of …