Revisiting concepts of thermal physiology: predicting responses of mammals to climate change

D Mitchell, EP Snelling, RS Hetem… - Journal of Animal …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The accuracy of predictive models (also known as mechanistic or causal models) of animal
responses to climate change depends on properly incorporating the principles of heat …

Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time

J Elith, JR Leathwick - Annual review of ecology, evolution, and …, 2009 - annualreviews.org
Species distribution models (SDMs) are numerical tools that combine observations of
species occurrence or abundance with environmental estimates. They are used to gain …

[BOK][B] Habitat suitability and distribution models: with applications in R

A Guisan, W Thuiller, NE Zimmermann - 2017 - books.google.com
This book introduces the key stages of niche-based habitat suitability model building,
evaluation and prediction required for understanding and predicting future patterns of …

[BOK][B] The normalized difference vegetation index

N Pettorelli - 2013 - books.google.com
There has been a recent surge of interest in remote sensing and its use in ecology and
conservation but this is the first book to focus explicitly on the NDVI (Normalised Difference …

Contrasting effects of summer and winter warming on body mass explain population dynamics in a food‐limited Arctic herbivore

SD Albon, RJ Irvine, O Halvorsen… - Global change …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The cumulative effects of climate warming on herbivore vital rates and population dynamics
are hard to predict, given that the expected effects differ between seasons. In the Arctic …

Impacts of climate change on avian populations

S Jenouvrier - Global Change Biology, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
This review focuses on the impacts of climate change on population dynamics. I introduce
the MUP (Measuring, Understanding, and Predicting) approach, which provides a general …

Climate warming and Bergmann's rule through time: is there any evidence?

C Teplitsky, V Millien - Evolutionary applications, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change is expected to induce many ecological and evolutionary changes. Among
these is the hypothesis that climate warming will cause a reduction in body size. This …

Contemporary climate change alters the pace and drivers of extinction

EA Beever, C Ray, JL Wilkening… - Global Change …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Contemporary climate change is expected to affect the distributions of most species, but the
nature, tempo, and mechanics of contemporary range shifts are still largely speculative …

Predicting survival, reproduction and abundance of polar bears under climate change

PK Molnár, AE Derocher, GW Thiemann… - Biological Conservation, 2010 - Elsevier
Polar bear (Ursus maritimus) populations are predicted to be negatively affected by climate
warming, but the timeframe and manner in which change to polar bear populations will …

Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population

S Jenouvrier, H Caswell, C Barbraud… - Proceedings of the …, 2009 - pnas.org
Studies have reported important effects of recent climate change on Antarctic species, but
there has been to our knowledge no attempt to explicitly link those results to forecasted …