The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …
Prognostic validation of a neural network unified physics parameterization
Weather and climate models approximate diabatic and sub‐grid‐scale processes in terms of
grid‐scale variables using parameterizations. Current parameterizations are designed by …
grid‐scale variables using parameterizations. Current parameterizations are designed by …
Spatially extended tests of a neural network parametrization trained by coarse‐graining
General circulation models (GCMs) typically have a grid size of 25–200 km.
Parametrizations are used to represent diabatic processes such as radiative transfer and …
Parametrizations are used to represent diabatic processes such as radiative transfer and …
[HTML][HTML] ESD reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: Weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing
The rationale for using multi-model ensembles in climate change projections and impacts
research is often based on the expectation that different models constitute independent …
research is often based on the expectation that different models constitute independent …
Multi-objective observational constraint of tropical Atlantic and Pacific low-cloud variability narrows uncertainty in cloud feedback
Tropical marine low cloud feedback is key to the uncertainty in climate sensitivity, and it
depends on the warming pattern of sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Here, we empirically …
depends on the warming pattern of sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Here, we empirically …
Bayesian model averaging of climate model projections constrained by precipitation observations over the contiguous United States
This study utilizes Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a framework to constrain the spread
of uncertainty in climate projections of precipitation over the contiguous United States …
of uncertainty in climate projections of precipitation over the contiguous United States …
Uncertainty in El Niño-like warming and California precipitation changes linked by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Marked uncertainty in California (CA) precipitation projections challenges their use in
adaptation planning in the region already experiencing severe water stress. Under global …
adaptation planning in the region already experiencing severe water stress. Under global …
Toward machine-assisted tuning avoiding the underestimation of uncertainty in climate change projections
Documenting the uncertainty of climate change projections is a fundamental objective of the
inter-comparison exercises organized to feed into the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate …
inter-comparison exercises organized to feed into the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate …
Wetter California projected by CMIP6 models with observational constraints under a high GHG emission scenario
As the world's fifth‐largest economy entity, California (CA) is vulnerable to climate changes
especially the magnitude of winter (wet season) precipitation that is closely linked to …
especially the magnitude of winter (wet season) precipitation that is closely linked to …
Multi-model ensemble projection of precipitation changes over China under global warming of 1.5 and 2 C with consideration of model performance and …
A weighting scheme jointly considering model performance and independence (PI-based
weighting scheme) is employed to deal with multi-model ensemble prediction of …
weighting scheme) is employed to deal with multi-model ensemble prediction of …