Formal models of nondemocratic politics
The last decade has witnessed growing interest among political scientists and economists in
nondemocratic politics. This trend has been reflected in increasingly rigorous game …
nondemocratic politics. This trend has been reflected in increasingly rigorous game …
Informational autocrats
In recent decades, dictatorships based on mass repression have largely given way to a new
model based on the manipulation of information. Instead of terrorizing citizens into …
model based on the manipulation of information. Instead of terrorizing citizens into …
A theory of informational autocracy
We develop an informational theory of autocracy. Dictators survive not by means of force or
ideology but because they convince the public—rightly or wrongly—that they are competent …
ideology but because they convince the public—rightly or wrongly—that they are competent …
Transparency, protest, and autocratic instability
The collapse of autocratic regimes is often brought about through large-scale mobilization
and collective action by elements of the populace. The willingness of any given member of …
and collective action by elements of the populace. The willingness of any given member of …
State censorship
We characterize a ruler's decision of whether to censor media reports that convey
information to citizens who decide whether to revolt. We find:(i) a ruler gains (his ex ante …
information to citizens who decide whether to revolt. We find:(i) a ruler gains (his ex ante …
Propaganda and credulity
AT Little - Games and Economic Behavior, 2017 - Elsevier
I develop a theory of propaganda which affects mass behavior without necessarily affecting
mass beliefs. A group of citizens observe a signal of their government's performance, which …
mass beliefs. A group of citizens observe a signal of their government's performance, which …
Collective action with uncertain payoffs: coordination, public signals, and punishment dilemmas
How can one analyze collective action in protests or revolutions when individuals are
uncertain about the relative payoffs of the status quo and revolution? We model a “calculus …
uncertain about the relative payoffs of the status quo and revolution? We model a “calculus …
Deliver the vote! Micromotives and macrobehavior in electoral fraud
Most electoral fraud is not conducted centrally by incumbents but rather locally by a
multitude of political operatives. How does an incumbent ensure that his agents deliver fraud …
multitude of political operatives. How does an incumbent ensure that his agents deliver fraud …
Why do authoritarian regimes allow citizens to voice opinions publicly?
Why would an authoritarian regime allow citizens to voice opinions publicly if the exchange
of information among citizens spurs social instability as has been often alleged? We show …
of information among citizens spurs social instability as has been often alleged? We show …
[BOOK][B] Transparency, democracy, and autocracy: economic transparency and political (in) stability
Advocates for economic development often call for greater transparency. But what does
transparency really mean? What are its consequences? This breakthrough book …
transparency really mean? What are its consequences? This breakthrough book …