Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti, JP Dunne… - 2021 - ora.ox.ac.uk
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6

R Döscher, M Acosta, A Alessandri… - Geoscientific Model …, 2021 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Earth System Model EC-Earth3 for contributions to CMIP6 is documented here, with its
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …

Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events

Y Liu, MG Donat, MH England, LV Alexander… - nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Several aspects of regional climate including near-surface temperature and precipitation are
predictable on interannual to decadal time scales. Despite indications that some climate …

AMOC recent and future trends: A crucial role for oceanic resolution and Greenland melting?

D Swingedouw, MN Houssais, C Herbaut… - Frontiers in …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a crucial element of the Earth
climate. It is a complex circulation system difficult to monitor and to model. There is …

[HTML][HTML] Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions

C Delgado-Torres, MG Donat… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Decadal climate predictions are a relatively new source of climate information for
interannual to decadal time scales, which is of increasing interest for users. Forecast quality …

SIPN South: Six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions

F Massonnet, S Barreira, A Barthélemy… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Antarctic sea ice prediction has garnered increasing attention in recent years, particularly in
the context of the recent record lows of February 2022 and 2023. As Antarctica becomes a …

[HTML][HTML] Modelled land use and land cover change emissions–a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches

WA Obermeier, JEMS Nabel, T Loughran… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
Quantifying the net carbon flux from land use and land cover changes (f LULCC) is critical
for understanding the global carbon cycle and, hence, to support climate change mitigation …

Multi-annual predictions of the frequency and intensity of daily temperature and precipitation extremes

C Delgado-Torres, MG Donat, A Soret… - Environmental …, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
The occurrence of extreme climate events in the coming years is modulated by both global
warming and internal climate variability. Anticipating changes in frequency and intensity of …

Skillful decadal prediction for Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity

Y Xu, B Wu, S Hu, T Zhou - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The Northwest Pacific (NWP) tropical cyclone (TC) activity exhibits significant
decadal variations with alternating active and inactive periods. However, it remains …

Making ecosystem modeling operational–A novel distributed execution framework to systematically explore ecological responses to divergent climate trajectories

J Steenbeek, P Ortega, R Bernardello… - Earth's …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven by Earth System Models
(ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyze the effects of …