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Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6
The Earth System Model EC-Earth3 for contributions to CMIP6 is documented here, with its
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …
Enhanced multi-year predictability after El Niño and La Niña events
Several aspects of regional climate including near-surface temperature and precipitation are
predictable on interannual to decadal time scales. Despite indications that some climate …
predictable on interannual to decadal time scales. Despite indications that some climate …
AMOC recent and future trends: A crucial role for oceanic resolution and Greenland melting?
D Swingedouw, MN Houssais, C Herbaut… - Frontiers in …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a crucial element of the Earth
climate. It is a complex circulation system difficult to monitor and to model. There is …
climate. It is a complex circulation system difficult to monitor and to model. There is …
[HTML][HTML] Multi-model forecast quality assessment of CMIP6 decadal predictions
Decadal climate predictions are a relatively new source of climate information for
interannual to decadal time scales, which is of increasing interest for users. Forecast quality …
interannual to decadal time scales, which is of increasing interest for users. Forecast quality …
SIPN South: Six years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions
Antarctic sea ice prediction has garnered increasing attention in recent years, particularly in
the context of the recent record lows of February 2022 and 2023. As Antarctica becomes a …
the context of the recent record lows of February 2022 and 2023. As Antarctica becomes a …
[HTML][HTML] Modelled land use and land cover change emissions–a spatio-temporal comparison of different approaches
Quantifying the net carbon flux from land use and land cover changes (f LULCC) is critical
for understanding the global carbon cycle and, hence, to support climate change mitigation …
for understanding the global carbon cycle and, hence, to support climate change mitigation …
Multi-annual predictions of the frequency and intensity of daily temperature and precipitation extremes
The occurrence of extreme climate events in the coming years is modulated by both global
warming and internal climate variability. Anticipating changes in frequency and intensity of …
warming and internal climate variability. Anticipating changes in frequency and intensity of …
Skillful decadal prediction for Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity
Abstract The Northwest Pacific (NWP) tropical cyclone (TC) activity exhibits significant
decadal variations with alternating active and inactive periods. However, it remains …
decadal variations with alternating active and inactive periods. However, it remains …
Making ecosystem modeling operational–A novel distributed execution framework to systematically explore ecological responses to divergent climate trajectories
Abstract Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven by Earth System Models
(ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyze the effects of …
(ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyze the effects of …