Short-term reforecasting of power output from a 48 MWe solar PV plant

Y Chu, B Urquhart, SMI Gohari, HTC Pedro, J Kleissl… - Solar Energy, 2015 - Elsevier
A smart, real-time reforecast method is applied to the intra-hour prediction of power
generated by a 48 MWe photovoltaic (PV) plant. This reforecasting method is developed …

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting—I. Basic concept

R Hagedorn, FJ Doblas-Reyes… - Tellus A: Dynamic …, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
The DEMETER multi-model ensemble system is used to investigate the rationale behind the
multi-model concept. A comprehensive documentation of the differences in the single and …

Risks of model weighting in multimodel climate projections

AP Weigel, R Knutti, MA Liniger… - Journal of …, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Multimodel combination is a pragmatic approach to estimating model uncertainties and to
making climate projections more reliable. The simplest way of constructing a multimodel is to …

Can multi‐model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?

AP Weigel, MA Liniger… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
The success of multi‐model ensemble combination has been demonstrated in many studies.
Given that a multi‐model contains information from all participating models, including the …

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting—II. Calibration and combination

FJ Doblas-Reyes, R Hagedorn… - Tellus A: Dynamic …, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
The DEMETER multi-model ensemble system is used to investigate the enhancement in
seasonal predictability that can be achieved by calibrating single-model ensembles and …

Flash flood forecasting: What are the limits of predictability?

CG Collier - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
Flash floods may occur suddenly and be accompanied by other hazards such as landslides,
mud flows, damage to infrastructure and even death. In the UK such events are …

A Streamflow Forecasting Framework using Multiple Climate and Hydrological Models1

PJ Block, FA Souza Filho, L Sun… - JAWRA Journal of the …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Water resources planning and management efficacy is subject to capturing inherent
uncertainties stemming from climatic and hydrological inputs and models. Streamflow …

Reforecasts: An important dataset for improving weather predictions

TM Hamill, JS Whitaker… - Bulletin of the American …, 2006 - journals.ametsoc.org
A “reforecast”(retrospective forecast) dataset has been developed. This dataset is comprised
of a 15-member ensemble run out to a 2-week lead. Forecasts have been run every day …

A technique for incorporating large‐scale climate information in basin‐scale ensemble streamflow forecasts

K Grantz, B Rajagopalan, M Clark… - Water Resources …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
Water managers throughout the western United States depend on seasonal forecasts to
assist with operations and planning. In this study, we develop a seasonal forecasting model …

[BUCH][B] Assessment of intraseasonal to interannual climate prediction and predictability

National Research Council, Division on Earth… - 2010 - books.google.com
More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years
could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy …