Impact of high-resolution sea surface temperature representation on the forecast of small Mediterranean catchments' hydrological responses to heavy precipitation
Operational meteo-hydrological forecasting chains are affected by many sources of
uncertainty. In coastal areas characterized by complex topography, with several medium-to …
uncertainty. In coastal areas characterized by complex topography, with several medium-to …
The roles of chaos seeding and multiple perturbations in convection-permitting ensemble forecasting over southern China
J Wang, J Chen, H Li, H Xue, Z Xu - Weather and Forecasting, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The roles of chaos seeding and multiple perturbations, including model perturbations and
topographic perturbations, in convection-permitting ensemble forecasting, are assessed. Six …
topographic perturbations, in convection-permitting ensemble forecasting, are assessed. Six …
[HTML][HTML] Toward unifying short-term and next-day convection-allowing ensemble forecast systems with a continuously cycling 3-km ensemble Kalman filter over the …
Abstract Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, 80-member ensemble
Kalman filter (EnKF) analyses with 3-km horizontal grid spacing were produced over the …
Kalman filter (EnKF) analyses with 3-km horizontal grid spacing were produced over the …
[HTML][HTML] A feasibility study of the cosine analysis constraint method for optimizing initial perturbations of convective-scale ensemble prediction
Q Wang, L Sun, X Ma, J Chen - Atmospheric Research, 2024 - Elsevier
To improve forecast skill of extreme weather events, it is of primary importance to construct
accurate initial conditions for a convective-scale ensemble prediction system (EPS). The …
accurate initial conditions for a convective-scale ensemble prediction system (EPS). The …
C‐LAEF: convection‐permitting limited‐area ensemble forecasting system
C Wastl, Y Wang, A Atencia, F Weidle… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract C‐LAEF (Convection‐permitting Limited‐Area Ensemble Forecasting) has been
developed at the Austrian national weather service ZAMG (Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie …
developed at the Austrian national weather service ZAMG (Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie …
Initial conditions for convection-allowing ensembles over the conterminous United States
Abstract Five sets of 48-h, 10-member, convection-allowing ensemble (CAE) forecasts with 3-
km horizontal grid spacing were systematically evaluated over the conterminous United …
km horizontal grid spacing were systematically evaluated over the conterminous United …
Improvements in the spread–skill relationship of precipitation in a convective‐scale ensemble through blending
Convective‐scale ensembles are used routinely in operational centres around the world to
produce probabilistic precipitation forecasts, but a lack of spread between members is …
produce probabilistic precipitation forecasts, but a lack of spread between members is …
[HTML][HTML] Comparing partial and continuously cycling ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation systems for convection-allowing ensemble forecast initialization
Several limited-area 80-member ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation systems
with 15-km horizontal grid spacing were run over a computational domain spanning the …
with 15-km horizontal grid spacing were run over a computational domain spanning the …
Hydrometeorological ensemble forecast of a highly localized convective event in the Mediterranean
The uncertainties that affect hydrometeorological modelling chains can be addressed
through ensemble approaches. In this paper, a convection-permitting ensemble system was …
through ensemble approaches. In this paper, a convection-permitting ensemble system was …
[HTML][HTML] Interactions between physics diversity and multiscale initial condition perturbations for storm-scale ensemble forecasting
A Johnson, X Wang - Monthly Weather Review, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Interactions between Physics Diversity and Multiscale Initial Condition Perturbations for
Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 148 Issue 8 (2020) …
Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 148 Issue 8 (2020) …