Tail risk premia and return predictability

T Bollerslev, V Todorov, L Xu - Journal of Financial Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
The variance risk premium, defined as the difference between the actual and risk-neutral
expectations of the forward aggregate market variation, helps predict future market returns …

Low‐risk anomalies?

P Schneider, C Wagner, J Zechner - The Journal of Finance, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This paper shows that low‐risk anomalies in the capital asset pricing model and in
traditional factor models arise when investors require compensation for coskewness risk …

A general framework for discretely sampled realized variance derivatives in stochastic volatility models with jumps

Z Cui, JL Kirkby, D Nguyen - European Journal of Operational Research, 2017 - Elsevier
After the recent financial crisis, the market for volatility derivatives has expanded rapidly to
meet the demand from investors, risk managers and speculators seeking diversification of …

Exchange rates and sovereign risk

P Della Corte, L Sarno, M Schmeling… - Management …, 2022 - pubsonline.informs.org
An increase in a country's sovereign risk, as measured by credit default swap spreads, is
accompanied by a contemporaneous depreciation of its currency and an increase of its …

Bond variance risk premiums

H Choi, P Mueller, A Vedolin - Review of Finance, 2017 - academic.oup.com
This paper studies variance risk premiums in the Treasury market. We first develop a theory
to price variance swaps and show that the realized variance can be perfectly replicated by a …

What we know about the low-risk anomaly: a literature review

J Traut - Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 2023 - Springer
It is well documented that less risky assets tend to outperform their riskier counterparts
across asset classes. This paper provides a structured summary of the current state of …

Nonparametric tail risk, stock returns, and the macroeconomy

C Almeida, K Ardison, R Garcia… - Journal of Financial …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
This paper introduces a new tail-risk measure based on the risk-neutral excess expected
shortfall of a cross-section of stock returns. We propose a novel way to risk neutralize the …

Higher-moment risk

NJ Gormsen, CS Jensen - Available at SSRN 3069617, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
We study time-variation in the shape of the distribution of stock returns. In a global sample
covering 17 countries, returns are more left-skewed and fat tailed during good times than …

Divergence and the Price of Uncertainty

P Schneider, F Trojani - Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Realized divergence measures the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying
uncertainty. It is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option …

Option-implied dependence and correlation risk premium

O Bondarenko, C Bernard - journal of Financial and Quantitative …, 2024 - cambridge.org
We propose a novel model-free approach to obtain the joint risk-neutral distribution among
several assets that is consistent with options on these assets and their weighted index. We …