Tail risk premia and return predictability
The variance risk premium, defined as the difference between the actual and risk-neutral
expectations of the forward aggregate market variation, helps predict future market returns …
expectations of the forward aggregate market variation, helps predict future market returns …
Low‐risk anomalies?
This paper shows that low‐risk anomalies in the capital asset pricing model and in
traditional factor models arise when investors require compensation for coskewness risk …
traditional factor models arise when investors require compensation for coskewness risk …
A general framework for discretely sampled realized variance derivatives in stochastic volatility models with jumps
After the recent financial crisis, the market for volatility derivatives has expanded rapidly to
meet the demand from investors, risk managers and speculators seeking diversification of …
meet the demand from investors, risk managers and speculators seeking diversification of …
Exchange rates and sovereign risk
An increase in a country's sovereign risk, as measured by credit default swap spreads, is
accompanied by a contemporaneous depreciation of its currency and an increase of its …
accompanied by a contemporaneous depreciation of its currency and an increase of its …
Bond variance risk premiums
This paper studies variance risk premiums in the Treasury market. We first develop a theory
to price variance swaps and show that the realized variance can be perfectly replicated by a …
to price variance swaps and show that the realized variance can be perfectly replicated by a …
What we know about the low-risk anomaly: a literature review
J Traut - Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 2023 - Springer
It is well documented that less risky assets tend to outperform their riskier counterparts
across asset classes. This paper provides a structured summary of the current state of …
across asset classes. This paper provides a structured summary of the current state of …
Nonparametric tail risk, stock returns, and the macroeconomy
This paper introduces a new tail-risk measure based on the risk-neutral excess expected
shortfall of a cross-section of stock returns. We propose a novel way to risk neutralize the …
shortfall of a cross-section of stock returns. We propose a novel way to risk neutralize the …
Higher-moment risk
We study time-variation in the shape of the distribution of stock returns. In a global sample
covering 17 countries, returns are more left-skewed and fat tailed during good times than …
covering 17 countries, returns are more left-skewed and fat tailed during good times than …
Divergence and the Price of Uncertainty
Realized divergence measures the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying
uncertainty. It is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option …
uncertainty. It is tradeable with divergence swaps engineered from delta-hedged option …
Option-implied dependence and correlation risk premium
We propose a novel model-free approach to obtain the joint risk-neutral distribution among
several assets that is consistent with options on these assets and their weighted index. We …
several assets that is consistent with options on these assets and their weighted index. We …