Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling

MT Craig, J Wohland, LP Stoop, A Kies, B Pickering… - Joule, 2022 - cell.com
Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators.
Energy system modeling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological …

Year‐round sub‐seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic–European weather regimes

D Büeler, L Ferranti, L Magnusson… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Weather regime forecasts are a prominent use case of sub‐seasonal prediction in the
midlatitudes. A systematic evaluation and understanding of year‐round sub‐seasonal …

Meteorological conditions during periods of low wind speed and insolation in Germany: The role of weather regimes

F Mockert, CM Grams, T Brown… - Meteorological …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Renewable power generation from wind and solar energy is strongly dependent on the
weather. To plan future sustainable energy systems that are robust to weather variability, a …

Multi‐model assessment of sub‐seasonal predictive skill for year‐round Atlantic–European weather regimes

M Osman, R Beerli, D Büeler… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The prediction skill of sub‐seasonal forecast models is evaluated for seven year‐round
weather regimes in the Atlantic–European region. Reforecasts based on models from three …

Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall

J Dorrington, C Grams, F Grazzini… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
A number of studies have investigated the large‐scale drivers and upstream precursors of
extreme weather events, making it clear that the earliest warning signs of extreme events …

Gaussian copula modeling of extreme cold and weak-wind events over Europe conditioned on winter weather regimes

P Tedesco, A Lenkoski, HC Bloomfield… - Environmental …, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
A transition to renewable energy is needed to mitigate climate change. In Europe, this
transition has been led by wind energy, which is one of the fastest growing energy sources …

Pattern-based forecasting enhances the prediction skill of European heatwaves into the sub-seasonal range

E Rouges, L Ferranti, H Kantz, F Pappenberger - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
The prediction of European heatwaves at the subseasonal range is of key importance to
mitigate their impact. This study builds on previous work which identifies five main European …

[HTML][HTML] Seasonal predictions of energy-relevant climate variables through Euro-Atlantic Teleconnections

I Cionni, L Lledó, V Torralba, A Dell'Aquila - Climate Services, 2022 - Elsevier
The goal of this analysis is the better understanding of how the large-scale atmospheric
patterns affect the renewable resources over Europe and to investigate to what extent the …

Predictive skill of teleconnection patterns in twentieth century seasonal hindcasts and their relationship to extreme winter temperatures in Europe

N Schuhen, N Schaller, HC Bloomfield… - Geophysical …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
European winter weather is dominated by several low‐frequency teleconnection patterns,
the main ones being the North Atlantic Oscillation, East Atlantic, East Atlantic/Western …

Factors influencing subseasonal predictability of northern Eurasian cold spells

I Erner, A Karpechko - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Cold‐air outbreaks have significant impacts on human health, energy consumption,
agriculture, and overall well‐being. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of …