Predicting bank insolvencies using machine learning techniques

A Petropoulos, V Siakoulis, E Stavroulakis… - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Proactively monitoring and assessing the economic health of financial institutions has
always been the cornerstone of supervisory authorities. In this work, we employ a series of …

An efficient and functional model for predicting bank distress: In and out of sample evidence

S Cleary, G Hebb - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016 - Elsevier
We examine the failures of 132 US banks over the 2002–2009 period using discriminant
analysis and successfully distinguish between banks that failed and those that didn't 92% of …

Predicting US bank failures with MIDAS logit models

F Audrino, A Kostrov, JP Ortega - Journal of Financial and …, 2019 - cambridge.org
We propose a new approach based on a generalization of the logit model to improve
prediction accuracy in US bank failures. Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) is introduced in the …

A comparison of community bank failures and FDIC losses in the 1986–92 and 2007–13 banking crises

E Balla, LC Mazur, ES Prescott, JR Walter - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
Failures and FDIC losses for community banks during the banking crises of the late 1980s
and late 2000s are compared. Despite increases in risky commercial real estate (CRE) …

How should we measure bank capital adequacy for triggering Prompt Corrective Action? A (simple) proposal

L Chernykh, RA Cole - Journal of Financial Stability, 2015 - Elsevier
In this study, we test the predictive power of several alternative measures of bank capital
adequacy in identifying US bank failures during the recent crisis period. We find that an …

Predicting bank inactivity: A comparative analysis of machine learning techniques for imbalanced data

AB Mrad, A Lahiani, S Mefteh-Wali… - Annals of Operations …, 2024 - Springer
This study compares the predictive accuracy of a set of machine learning models coupled
with three resampling techniques (Random Undersampling, Random Oversampling, and …

Predicting Bank Distress in Europe: Using Machine Learning and a Novel Definition of Distress

D Malikkidou, W Strohbach - European Banking Authority …, 2025 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper develops an early warning system for predicting distress for large European
banks. Using a novel definition of distress derived from banks' headroom above regulatory …

Macroeconomic conditions and bank failure

Q Wu, RA Cole - Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Utilizing a simple time‐varying hazard model, we incorporate nationwide and state‐level
economic variables with banking‐industry and bank‐level data to examine US bank failures …

Modele predykcji upadłości MŚP w Polsce–analiza z wykorzystaniem modelu przeżycia Coxa i modelu regresji logistycznej

A Ptak-Chmielewska - Ekonometria, 2014 - ceeol.com
Credit risk is associated with the banking activity and is the most important type of the risk to
which banks are exposed. Bankruptcy risk assessment is based on models using the …

Impact of credit risk and profitability on liquidity shocks of Namibian banks: an application of the structural VAR model

AV Kamuinjo - Journal of Life Economics, 2021 - dergipark.org.tr
The main purpose of this paper was to investigate the relationship between banks' credit risk
and profitability and liquidity shocks in Namibia for the period 2009 to 2018 using the SVAR …