[HTML][HTML] The ambiguities of uncertainty: A review of uncertainty frameworks relevant to the assessment of environmental change

LD Bevan - Futures, 2022 - Elsevier
As awareness of deep uncertainties in many disciplines has grown over the last half-century,
researchers have developed many frameworks, typologies, and taxonomies to understand …

Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty

EA Moallemi, J Kwakkel, FJ de Haan… - Global Environmental …, 2020 - Elsevier
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …

[HTML][HTML] Participatory planning of the future of waste management in small island develo** states to deliver on the Sustainable Development Goals

LI Fuldauer, MC Ives, D Adshead, S Thacker… - Journal of cleaner …, 2019 - Elsevier
Waste management is particularly challenging for Small Island Develo** States (SIDS)
due to their high per-capita infrastructure costs, remoteness, narrow resource bases and …

Governing wickedness in megaprojects: Discursive and institutional perspectives

G Esposito, A Terlizzi - Policy and Society, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Megaprojects are now as important as ever. As a response to the pandemic, the European
Union has put forward the Next Generation EU policy, making available a 2021–2027 long …

A participatory exploratory modelling approach for long-term planning in energy transitions

EA Moallemi, S Malekpour - Energy research & social science, 2018 - Elsevier
Energy transitions are complex transformation processes, which involve different actors and
unfold in a deeply uncertain future. These features make the long-term planning of energy …

Internal consistency and diversity scenario development: A comparative framework to evaluate energy model scenarios

N Sandoval, JL Reyna, AE Landis - Renewable and Sustainable Energy …, 2023 - Elsevier
Energy modeling frameworks and scenario analysis help us explore the potential impact of
our actions and uncertainties in future energy systems. Despite their importance, there is no …

The effects of serious gaming on risk perceptions of climate tip** points

L van Beek, M Milkoreit, L Prokopy, JB Reed… - Climatic Change, 2022 - Springer
A growing body of research indicates that effective science-policy interactions demand novel
approaches, especially in policy domains with long time horizons like climate change …

[HTML][HTML] Missing the (tip**) point: the effect of information about climate tip** points on public risk perceptions in Norway

C Nadeau, M Milkoreit, TH Eriksen… - Earth System …, 2024 - esd.copernicus.org
Climate tip** points are a topic of growing interest in climate research and a frequent
communication tool in the media to warn of dangerous climate change. Despite indications …

[HTML][HTML] 'Plausible'energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures

R Schmidt-Scheele - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
Explorative energy scenarios do not present the most probable developments but provide a
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …

[LIVRE][B] The Plausibility of Future Scenarios

R Schmidt-Scheele - 2020 - degruyter.com
During an airport security check, the scenario researcher Selin was asked to remove her
Christmas gift–a snow globe–from her suitcase. In a subsequent article, she reflected:“In an …