[HTML][HTML] The ambiguities of uncertainty: A review of uncertainty frameworks relevant to the assessment of environmental change
LD Bevan - Futures, 2022 - Elsevier
As awareness of deep uncertainties in many disciplines has grown over the last half-century,
researchers have developed many frameworks, typologies, and taxonomies to understand …
researchers have developed many frameworks, typologies, and taxonomies to understand …
Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
[HTML][HTML] Participatory planning of the future of waste management in small island develo** states to deliver on the Sustainable Development Goals
Waste management is particularly challenging for Small Island Develo** States (SIDS)
due to their high per-capita infrastructure costs, remoteness, narrow resource bases and …
due to their high per-capita infrastructure costs, remoteness, narrow resource bases and …
Governing wickedness in megaprojects: Discursive and institutional perspectives
Megaprojects are now as important as ever. As a response to the pandemic, the European
Union has put forward the Next Generation EU policy, making available a 2021–2027 long …
Union has put forward the Next Generation EU policy, making available a 2021–2027 long …
A participatory exploratory modelling approach for long-term planning in energy transitions
Energy transitions are complex transformation processes, which involve different actors and
unfold in a deeply uncertain future. These features make the long-term planning of energy …
unfold in a deeply uncertain future. These features make the long-term planning of energy …
Internal consistency and diversity scenario development: A comparative framework to evaluate energy model scenarios
Energy modeling frameworks and scenario analysis help us explore the potential impact of
our actions and uncertainties in future energy systems. Despite their importance, there is no …
our actions and uncertainties in future energy systems. Despite their importance, there is no …
The effects of serious gaming on risk perceptions of climate tip** points
A growing body of research indicates that effective science-policy interactions demand novel
approaches, especially in policy domains with long time horizons like climate change …
approaches, especially in policy domains with long time horizons like climate change …
[HTML][HTML] Missing the (tip**) point: the effect of information about climate tip** points on public risk perceptions in Norway
Climate tip** points are a topic of growing interest in climate research and a frequent
communication tool in the media to warn of dangerous climate change. Despite indications …
communication tool in the media to warn of dangerous climate change. Despite indications …
[HTML][HTML] 'Plausible'energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures
R Schmidt-Scheele - Energy Strategy Reviews, 2020 - Elsevier
Explorative energy scenarios do not present the most probable developments but provide a
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
set of plausible pathways in order to highlight the uncertainty and complexity of decision …
[LIVRE][B] The Plausibility of Future Scenarios
R Schmidt-Scheele - 2020 - degruyter.com
During an airport security check, the scenario researcher Selin was asked to remove her
Christmas gift–a snow globe–from her suitcase. In a subsequent article, she reflected:“In an …
Christmas gift–a snow globe–from her suitcase. In a subsequent article, she reflected:“In an …