A particle filtering approach to oil futures price calibration and forecasting

G Fileccia, C Sgarra - Journal of commodity markets, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper we propose a model for oil price dynamics for which we provide an estimation
method based on a recent technique named Particle Filtering. The model we are going to …

Historical and risk-neutral estimation in a two factors stochastic volatility model for oil markets

G Fileccia, C Sgarra - International Journal of …, 2015 - inderscienceonline.com
In this paper, we analyse spot prices and futures quotations to get inference in the crude oil
market. Data are referred to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) index which tracks the crude oil …

Non-Linear Non-Stationary Heteroscedasticity Volatility for Tracking of Jump Processes

SH Fouladi, E Hajiramezanali - arxiv preprint arxiv:1902.04499, 2019 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we introduce a new jump process modeling which involves a particular kind of
non-Gaussian stochastic processes with random jumps at random time points. The main …

A double correlated three factor model for a crude oil market

G Fileccia, C Sgarra - Available at SSRN 2568563, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
A DOUBLE CORRELATED THREE FACTOR MODEL FOR A CRUDE OIL MARKET 1.
Introduction One of the key elements in modeling crude oil mark Page 1 A DOUBLE …

A particle filter approach to parameter estimation in stochastic volatility models with jumps for crude oil market

G Fileccia - 2013 - politesi.polimi.it
This dissertation deals with the inference in a crude oil market, the West Texas Intermediate
(WTI) crude oil, whose futures are quoted on the New York Mercantile Exchange Market …

Identification of bates stochastic volatility model by using non-central chi-square random generation method

SI Aihara, A Bagchi, S Saha - 2012 IEEE International …, 2012 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
We study the identification problem for Bates stochastic volatility model, which is widely used
as the model of a stock in finance. By using the exact simulation method, a particle filter for …

[PDF][PDF] Computing option values by pricing kernel with a stochatic volatility model

S Centanni, A Ongaro - 2011 - leonardo3.dse.univr.it
To use a wider range of information available on the market, we propose a parameter
estimation and option pricing procedure which involves a two step approach: in a first step …

[PDF][PDF] Approved by _

R Repnin - 2020 - kse.ua
Options are one of the most dangerous financial instruments, one of the hardest to
understand. For example, to start trading options on the Interactive Brokers, the average …

Latent State and Parameter Estimation of Stochastic Volatility/Jump Models via Particle Filtering

A Soane - 2018 - open.uct.ac.za
Particle filtering in stochastic volatility/jump models has gained significant attention in the
last decade, with many distinguished researchers adding their contributions to this new field …

Filtering for Stochastic Volatility by Using Exact Sampling and Application to Term Structure Modeling

SI Aihara, A Bagchi, S Saha - … in Control, Automation and Robotics: 10th …, 2015 - Springer
The Bates stochastic volatility model is widely used in the finance problem and the
sequential parameter estimation problem becomes important. By using the exact simulation …