Recent progress in tropical cyclone intensity forecasting at the National Hurricane Center

JP Cangialosi, E Blake, M DeMaria… - Weather and …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
It has been well documented that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has made significant
improvements in Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting during the past half …

Advances and challenges at the National Hurricane Center

EN Rappaport, JL Franklin, LA Avila… - Weather and …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The National Hurricane Center issues analyses, forecasts, and warnings over large
parts of the North Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and in support of many nearby countries …

Deep learning experiments for tropical cyclone intensity forecasts

W Xu, K Balaguru, A August, N Lalo… - Weather and …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Reducing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecast errors is a challenging task that has
interested the operational forecasting and research community for decades. To address this …

Hurricane hazard modeling: The past, present, and future

PJ Vickery, FJ Masters, MD Powell… - Journal of Wind …, 2009 - Elsevier
Hurricane hazard modeling has become a commonly used tool for assessing hurricane risk.
The type of hurricane risk considered varies with the user and can be an economic risk, as in …

The intensity forecasting experiment: A NOAA multiyear field program for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasts

R Rogers, S Aberson, M Black, P Black… - Bulletin of the …, 2006 - journals.ametsoc.org
In 2005, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), part of the Atlantic Oceanographic
and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity …

Future changes in tropical cyclone exposure and impacts in southeast Asia from CMIP6 pseudo‐global warming simulations

TL Tran, EA Ritchie, SE Perkins‐Kirkpatrick… - Earth's …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract In this Pseudo‐global Warming study, potential future changes in the Southeast
Asia tropical cyclone (TC) exposure climatology are quantified. One hundred and seventeen …

Toward improving high-resolution numerical hurricane forecasting: Influence of model horizontal grid resolution, initialization, and physics

SG Gopalakrishnan, S Goldenberg… - Weather and …, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
This paper provides an account of the performance of an experimental version of the
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting system (HWRFX) for 87 cases of Atlantic …

A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity prediction

M DeMaria - Monthly Weather Review, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity prediction based on a logistic
growth equation (LGE) is developed. The time tendency of the maximum sustained surface …

Exploring hurricane wind speed along US Atlantic coast in warming climate and effects on predictions of structural damage and intervention costs

W Cui, L Caracoglia - Engineering Structures, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a methodology for the rational assessment of lifetime costs on tall
buildings due to hurricane-induced damage along the US Atlantic coastline accounting for …

Understanding error distributions of hurricane intensity forecasts during rapid intensity changes

BC Trabing, MM Bell - Weather and Forecasting, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
The characteristics of official National Hurricane Center (NHC) intensity forecast errors are
examined for the North Atlantic and east Pacific basins from 1989 to 2018. It is shown how …