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Recent progress in tropical cyclone intensity forecasting at the National Hurricane Center
JP Cangialosi, E Blake, M DeMaria… - Weather and …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
It has been well documented that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has made significant
improvements in Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting during the past half …
improvements in Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting during the past half …
Advances and challenges at the National Hurricane Center
EN Rappaport, JL Franklin, LA Avila… - Weather and …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The National Hurricane Center issues analyses, forecasts, and warnings over large
parts of the North Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and in support of many nearby countries …
parts of the North Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, and in support of many nearby countries …
Deep learning experiments for tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
Reducing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecast errors is a challenging task that has
interested the operational forecasting and research community for decades. To address this …
interested the operational forecasting and research community for decades. To address this …
Hurricane hazard modeling: The past, present, and future
PJ Vickery, FJ Masters, MD Powell… - Journal of Wind …, 2009 - Elsevier
Hurricane hazard modeling has become a commonly used tool for assessing hurricane risk.
The type of hurricane risk considered varies with the user and can be an economic risk, as in …
The type of hurricane risk considered varies with the user and can be an economic risk, as in …
The intensity forecasting experiment: A NOAA multiyear field program for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
In 2005, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), part of the Atlantic Oceanographic
and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity …
and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity …
Future changes in tropical cyclone exposure and impacts in southeast Asia from CMIP6 pseudo‐global warming simulations
Abstract In this Pseudo‐global Warming study, potential future changes in the Southeast
Asia tropical cyclone (TC) exposure climatology are quantified. One hundred and seventeen …
Asia tropical cyclone (TC) exposure climatology are quantified. One hundred and seventeen …
Toward improving high-resolution numerical hurricane forecasting: Influence of model horizontal grid resolution, initialization, and physics
SG Gopalakrishnan, S Goldenberg… - Weather and …, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
This paper provides an account of the performance of an experimental version of the
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting system (HWRFX) for 87 cases of Atlantic …
Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting system (HWRFX) for 87 cases of Atlantic …
A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity prediction
M DeMaria - Monthly Weather Review, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity prediction based on a logistic
growth equation (LGE) is developed. The time tendency of the maximum sustained surface …
growth equation (LGE) is developed. The time tendency of the maximum sustained surface …
Exploring hurricane wind speed along US Atlantic coast in warming climate and effects on predictions of structural damage and intervention costs
This paper proposes a methodology for the rational assessment of lifetime costs on tall
buildings due to hurricane-induced damage along the US Atlantic coastline accounting for …
buildings due to hurricane-induced damage along the US Atlantic coastline accounting for …
Understanding error distributions of hurricane intensity forecasts during rapid intensity changes
The characteristics of official National Hurricane Center (NHC) intensity forecast errors are
examined for the North Atlantic and east Pacific basins from 1989 to 2018. It is shown how …
examined for the North Atlantic and east Pacific basins from 1989 to 2018. It is shown how …