Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tip** elements
Tip** elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …
A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales
Sea ice plays a crucial role in the Earth's energy and water budget and has a substantial
impact on local and remote atmospheric and oceanic circulations. Predictions of Arctic sea …
impact on local and remote atmospheric and oceanic circulations. Predictions of Arctic sea …
[HTML][HTML] Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches
Barsugli, J., C. Anderson, JB Smith, and JM Vogel, 2009: Options for improving climate
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
Arctic sea ice trends, variability and implications for seasonal ice forecasting
MC Serreze, J Stroeve - Philosophical Transactions of …, 2015 - royalsocietypublishing.org
September Arctic sea ice extent over the period of satellite observations has a strong
downward trend, accompanied by pronounced interannual variability with a detrended 1 …
downward trend, accompanied by pronounced interannual variability with a detrended 1 …
[HTML][HTML] The role of Atlantic heat transport in future Arctic winter sea ice loss
The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss in: Journal of Climate
Volume 32 Issue 11 (2019) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Volume 32 Issue 11 (2019) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Persistence and inherent predictability of Arctic sea ice in a GCM ensemble and observations
The temporal characteristics of Arctic sea ice extent and area are analyzed in terms of their
lagged correlation in observations and a GCM ensemble. Observations and model output …
lagged correlation in observations and a GCM ensemble. Observations and model output …
Improving Met Office seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice using assimilation of CryoSat-2 thickness
Interest in seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice has been increasing in recent years owing,
primarily, to the sharp reduction in Arctic sea-ice cover observed over the last few decades …
primarily, to the sharp reduction in Arctic sea-ice cover observed over the last few decades …
Insights on past and future sea-ice evolution from combining observations and models
We discuss the current understanding of past and future sea-ice evolution as inferred from
combining model simulations and observations. In such combined analysis, the models …
combining model simulations and observations. In such combined analysis, the models …
Predicting September sea ice: Ensemble skill of the SEARCH sea ice outlook 2008–2013
Abstract Since 2008, the Study of Environmental Arctic Change Sea Ice Outlook has
solicited predictions of September sea‐ice extent from the Arctic research community …
solicited predictions of September sea‐ice extent from the Arctic research community …
Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge
Skillful sea ice forecasts from days to years ahead are becoming increasingly important for
the operation and planning of human activities in the Arctic. Here we analyze the potential …
the operation and planning of human activities in the Arctic. Here we analyze the potential …