Background and aims Realizing the transmission potential and the magnitude of the
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) aids public health monitoring, strategies, and …

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for models that can project epidemic
trends, explore intervention scenarios, and estimate resource needs. Here we describe the …

Italy was the first country in the western world to be affected by the COVID-19 pandemic,
arguably among the worst-affected ones, counting 12 million cases and 150 thousand …

COVID-19 is a pandemic that has affected over 170 countries around the world. The number
of infected and deceased patients has been increasing at an alarming rate in almost all the …

Early assessments of the growth rate of COVID-19 were subject to significant uncertainty, as
expected with limited data and difficulties in case ascertainment, but as cases were recorded …

COVID-19 is spreading really fast around the world. The current study describes the
situation of the outbreak of this disease in India and predicts the number of cases expected …

Due to the recent evolution of the COVID-19 outbreak, the scientific community is making
efforts to analyse models for understanding the present situation and for predicting future …

The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) attracted worldwide attention. It has posed a
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …

Starting in mid-May 2020, many US states began relaxing social-distancing measures that
were put in place to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. To evaluate the impact of relaxation of …

We introduce a novel methodology for predicting the time evolution of the number of
individuals in a given country reported to be infected with SARS-CoV-2. This methodology …