Mortality modelling and forecasting: A review of methods

H Booth, L Tickle - Annals of actuarial science, 2008 - cambridge.org
Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the
fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. Significant developments in mortality …

Australian baby boomers' expectations and plans for their old age

S Quine, S Carter - Australasian Journal on Ageing, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
The ageing of Australia's 5.5 million baby boomers (born 1946–1965) will significantly
change Australian society, yet it is unclear what is known about the expectations and plans …

The health of Australian baby boomers

N Humpel, K O'Loughlin, Y Wells… - Australasian Journal on …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
The large baby boomer cohort is beginning to reach retirement age. This paper reviews
recent Australian literature on baby boomers' health and health behaviours. Databases were …

Mortality forecasting using factor models: Time-varying or time-invariant factor loadings?

L He, F Huang, J Shi, Y Yang - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Many existing mortality models follow the framework of classical factor models, such as the
Lee–Carter model and its variants. Latent common factors in factor models are defined as …

Demographic change and the needs-based planning of government services: Projecting small area populations using spatial microsimulation

A Harding, Y Vidyattama, R Tanton - Journal of Population Research, 2011 - Springer
Changing patterns of longevity, fertility and migration in Australia have driven substantial
changes in population age structure and household size and composition. Of the various …

[PDF][PDF] Projecting the need for formal and informal aged care in Australia: A dynamic microsimulation approach

B Nepal, L Brown, S Kelly, R Percival… - National Centre for …, 2011 - academia.edu
With the rapid ageing of the Australian population and the growth in the number of older
persons and years likely to be lived with disability, the need for and provision of aged care …

Fairness-aware Principal Component Analysis for Mortality Forecasting and Annuity Pricing

F Huang, J Shen, Y Yang, R Zhao - arxiv preprint arxiv:2412.04663, 2024 - arxiv.org
Fairness-aware statistical learning is critical for data-driven decision-making to mitigate
discrimination against protected attributes, such as gender, race, and ethnicity. This is …

The longevity prospects of Australian seniors: An evaluation of forecast method and outcome

L Tickle, H Booth - Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2014 - degruyter.com
Continuing rapid changes in the level and pattern of mortality require that forecasts are
available that are timely, relevant and reliable. This paper evaluates a previous forecast of …

Cohort working life tables for older Canadians

FT Denton, CH Feaver, BG Spencer - 2009 - econstor.eu
We construct cohort working life tables for Canadian men and women aged 50 and older
and, for comparison, corresponding period tables. The tables are derived using annual …

On the importance of being uncertain: forecasting population futures for Australia

H Booth - People and Place, 2004 - search.informit.org
that may be more realistic. The 2002 official population projections for Australia has two
mortality, three fertility and three migration assumptions, giving a possible 18combinations …