This review addresses the long-standing puzzle of how logic and probability fit together in
human reasoning. Many cognitive scientists argue that conventional logic cannot underlie …

A major hypothesis about conditionals is the Equation in which the probability of a
conditional equals the corresponding conditional probability: p (if A then C)= p (C| A) …

This article presents a fundamental advance in the theory of mental models as an
explanation of reasoning about facts, possibilities, and probabilities. It postulates that the …

Poetry evokes emotions. It does so, according to the theory we present, from three sorts of
simulation. They each can prompt emotions, which are communications both within the brain …

We explore how decision makers perceive and assess the level of risk in interdependent
settings. In a series of five experiments, we examine how individuals set expectations for …

Abstract Reasoning about possibilities is fundamental in daily life. Yet, it has been little
studied in psychology. We present a psychological theory in which it is the foundation of …

The theory of mental models postulates that conditionals and disjunctions refer to
possibilities, real or counterfactual. Factual conditionals, for example,“If there's an apple …

We present a theory of how people reason about properties. Such inferences have been
studied since Aristotle's invention of Western logic. But, no previous psychological theory …

In the philosophy of science why-questions are a way to address the foundations of scientific
explanation. For Bas van Fraassen (1980), a theory of explanation is essentially a theory of …

We report 3 experiments investigating novel sorts of inference, such as: A or B or both.
Therefore, possibly (A and B). Where the contents were sensible assertions, for example …