Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change

AK Magnan, ELF Schipper, M Burkett… - Wiley …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
This paper reviews the current theoretical scholarship on maladaptation and provides some
specific case studies—in the Maldives, Ethiopia, South Africa, and Bangladesh—to advance …

Sustainable water management under future uncertainty with eco-engineering decision scaling

NLR Poff, CM Brown, TE Grantham… - Nature Climate …, 2016 - nature.com
Managing freshwater resources sustainably under future climatic and hydrological
uncertainty poses novel challenges. Rehabilitation of ageing infrastructure and construction …

Global and regional sea level rise scenarios for the United States

WV Sweet, RE Kopp, CP Weaver, J Obeysekera… - 2017 - ntrs.nasa.gov
The Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flood Hazard Scenarios and Tools Interagency Task
Force, jointly convened by the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and the …

An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?

HR Maier, JHA Guillaume, H van Delden… - … modelling & software, 2016 - Elsevier
A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world

M Haasnoot, JH Kwakkel, WE Walker… - Global environmental …, 2013 - Elsevier
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the
literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future …

Australasia

J Lawrence, B Mackey, F Chiew, MJ Costello… - 2023 - researcharchive.lincoln.ac.nz
Observed changes and impacts Ongoing climate trends have exacerbated many extreme
events (very high confidence). The Australian trends include further warming and sea level …

Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities

JCJH Aerts, WJW Botzen, K Emanuel, N Lin… - Science, 2014 - science.org
Recent flood disasters in the United States (2005, 2008, 2012); the Philippines (2012, 2013);
and Britain (2014) illustrate how vulnerable coastal cities are to storm surge flooding. Floods …

The importance of internal climate variability in climate impact projections

K Schwarzwald, N Lenssen - Proceedings of the National …, 2022 - National Acad Sciences
Uncertainty in climate projections is driven by three components: scenario uncertainty,
intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact …

[HTML][HTML] Deep uncertainty and the transition to a low-carbon economy

C Haas, H Jahns, K Kempa, U Moslener - Energy Research & Social …, 2023 - Elsevier
The transformation of economies towards net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within
very few decades will require substantial investments. However, the transition to a low …

[書籍][B] Energy Security Trade-Offs Under High Uncertainty: Resolving Afghanistan's Power Sector Development Dilemma

World Bank - 2016 - documents1.worldbank.org
Afghanistan remains in the bottom 10 percent globally in electricity consumption per capita
(~ 100 kWh per year) and only 25-30 percent of its population is connected to the grid, one …