Addressing the risk of maladaptation to climate change
This paper reviews the current theoretical scholarship on maladaptation and provides some
specific case studies—in the Maldives, Ethiopia, South Africa, and Bangladesh—to advance …
specific case studies—in the Maldives, Ethiopia, South Africa, and Bangladesh—to advance …
Sustainable water management under future uncertainty with eco-engineering decision scaling
Managing freshwater resources sustainably under future climatic and hydrological
uncertainty poses novel challenges. Rehabilitation of ageing infrastructure and construction …
uncertainty poses novel challenges. Rehabilitation of ageing infrastructure and construction …
Global and regional sea level rise scenarios for the United States
The Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flood Hazard Scenarios and Tools Interagency Task
Force, jointly convened by the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and the …
Force, jointly convened by the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and the …
An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?
A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …
[HTML][HTML] Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the
literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future …
literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future …
Australasia
Observed changes and impacts Ongoing climate trends have exacerbated many extreme
events (very high confidence). The Australian trends include further warming and sea level …
events (very high confidence). The Australian trends include further warming and sea level …
Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities
Recent flood disasters in the United States (2005, 2008, 2012); the Philippines (2012, 2013);
and Britain (2014) illustrate how vulnerable coastal cities are to storm surge flooding. Floods …
and Britain (2014) illustrate how vulnerable coastal cities are to storm surge flooding. Floods …
The importance of internal climate variability in climate impact projections
Uncertainty in climate projections is driven by three components: scenario uncertainty,
intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact …
intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact …
[HTML][HTML] Deep uncertainty and the transition to a low-carbon economy
The transformation of economies towards net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within
very few decades will require substantial investments. However, the transition to a low …
very few decades will require substantial investments. However, the transition to a low …
[書籍][B] Energy Security Trade-Offs Under High Uncertainty: Resolving Afghanistan's Power Sector Development Dilemma
World Bank - 2016 - documents1.worldbank.org
Afghanistan remains in the bottom 10 percent globally in electricity consumption per capita
(~ 100 kWh per year) and only 25-30 percent of its population is connected to the grid, one …
(~ 100 kWh per year) and only 25-30 percent of its population is connected to the grid, one …