Methods, current status, and prospect of targeted observation

M Mu - Science China Earth Sciences, 2013‏ - Springer
Targeted observation is an observation strategy by which the concerned phenomenon is
observed. In geoscience, targeted observation is mainly related to the forecasts of weather …

Increasingly important role of numerical modeling in oceanic observation design strategy: A review

K Zhang, M Mu, Q Wang - Science China Earth Sciences, 2020‏ - Springer
Oceanic observation design is of considerable significance and has made remarkable
progress during the past several decades. This study addresses the critical role of numerical …

The initial errors that induce a significant “spring predictability barrier” for El Niño events and their implications for target observation: Results from an earth system …

W Duan, J Hu - Climate Dynamics, 2016‏ - Springer
Abstract The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Earth System Model is
used to study the “spring predictability barrier”(SPB) problem for El Niño events from the …

Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting

M Mu, W Duan, D Chen, W Yu - National Science Review, 2015‏ - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we emphasize the importance of accurate initial conditions in predicting high-
impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events, such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation …

Towards optimal observational array for dealing with challenges of El Niño-Southern Oscillation predictions due to diversities of El Niño

W Duan, X Li, B Tian - Climate Dynamics, 2018‏ - Springer
This paper investigates the optimal observational array for improving the initialization of El
Niño-Southern Oscillation predictions by exploring the sensitive areas for target …

Similarities between optimal precursors for ENSO events and optimally growing initial errors in El Niño predictions

M Mu, Y Yu, H Xu, T Gong - Theoretical and applied climatology, 2014‏ - Springer
Abstract With the Zebiak–Cane model, the relationship between the optimal precursors
(OPR) for triggering the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and the optimally …

The similarity between optimal precursor and optimally growing initial error in prediction of Kuroshio large meander and its application to targeted observation

Q Wang, M Mu, HA Dijkstra - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2013‏ - Wiley Online Library
The links between optimal precursor (OPR) and optimally growing initial error (OGIE) in the
predictability studies of Kuroshio large meander (LM) are investigated using the Conditional …

The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects

M Mu, WS Duan, YM Tang - Science China Earth Sciences, 2017‏ - Springer
This paper reviews the historic understanding of the predictability of atmospheric and
oceanic motions, and interprets it in a general framework. On this basis, the existing …

Initial error-induced optimal perturbations in ENSO predictions, as derived from an intermediate coupled model

LJ Tao, RH Zhang, C Gao - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2017‏ - Springer
The initial errors constitute one of the main limiting factors in the ability to predict the El Niño–
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in ocean–atmosphere coupled models. The conditional …

Conditions under which CNOP sensitivity is valid for tropical cyclone adaptive observations

X Qin, W Duan, M Mu - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2013‏ - Wiley Online Library
To determine whether profound improvements in tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting are
achievable by deploying dropwindsondes according to conditional nonlinear optimal …