Integrating uncertainty of preferences and predictions in decision models: An application to regional wastewater planning

F Haag, P Reichert, M Maurer, J Lienert - Journal of environmental …, 2019 - Elsevier
Decision-making in environmental management requires eliciting preferences of
stakeholders and predicting outcomes of decision alternatives. Usually, preferences and …

[HTML][HTML] Assessing whether decisions are more sensitive to preference or prediction uncertainty with a value of information approach

F Haag, A Chennu - Omega, 2023 - Elsevier
In many decisions, we are not only uncertain about the predicted outcomes of decision
alternatives but also about stakeholder preferences regarding these outcomes. Further …

Nonparametric predictive utility inference

B Houlding, FPA Coolen - European Journal of Operational Research, 2012 - Elsevier
We consider the natural combination of two strands of recent statistical research, ie, that of
decision making with uncertain utility and that of Nonparametric Predictive Inference (NPI) …

Reliability updating in linear opinion pooling for multiple decision makers

D Bolger, B Houlding - … Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk …, 2016 - journals.sagepub.com
Accurate information sources are vital prerequisites for good decision making. Here, we
consider a multiple participant setting, where all decision makers have a collection of …

On some statistical aspects of software testing and reliability

FPA Coolen - Complex Systems and Dependability, 2012 - Springer
This article discusses the author's views on possible contributions statistics can make to
software testing and reliability. Several difficulties are highlighted and several research …

Spatial model of voting: Citizens with inconsistent, persuadable and endogenous policy preferences

L Stötzer - 2014 - madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de
Electoral democracies are built on the idea of representation. The electorate selects
politicians to represent their interests in the law-making process. Given that citizens hold …

Modelling uncertainty and vagueness within recommender systems via nonparametric predictive inference

A McCourt, B Houlding - CASI 2018 - istat.ie
Learning preferences for decision-making processes has been an area of substantial
research in recent years, especially given the introduction of Recommender systems (RSs) …

[HTML][HTML] Incorporating Uncertain Costs within a Series of Sequential Probability Ratio Tests

C McMeel, B Houlding - Open Journal of Statistics, 2016 - scirp.org
We consider an extension to Sequential Probability Ratio Tests for when we have uncertain
costs, but also opportunity to learn about these in an adaptive manner. In doing so we …

A Conjugate Class of Utility Functions for Sequential Decision Problems

B Houlding, FPA Coolen, D Bolger - Risk Analysis, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
The use of the conjugacy property for members of the exponential family of distributions is
commonplace within Bayesian statistical analysis, allowing for tractable and simple …