Remotely sensing potential climate change tip** points across scales

TM Lenton, JF Abrams, A Bartsch, S Bathiany… - nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Potential climate tip** points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for
improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying …

Anticipating critical transitions

M Scheffer, SR Carpenter, TM Lenton, J Bascompte… - science, 2012 - science.org
Tip** points in complex systems may imply risks of unwanted collapse, but also
opportunities for positive change. Our capacity to navigate such risks and opportunities can …

Major depression as a complex dynamic system

AOJ Cramer, CD Van Borkulo, EJ Giltay… - PloS one, 2016 - journals.plos.org
In this paper, we characterize major depression (MD) as a complex dynamic system in which
symptoms (eg, insomnia and fatigue) are directly connected to one another in a network …

Quantifying resilience of humans and other animals

M Scheffer, JE Bolhuis, D Borsboom… - Proceedings of the …, 2018 - pnas.org
All life requires the capacity to recover from challenges that are as inevitable as they are
unpredictable. Understanding this resilience is essential for managing the health of humans …

[HTML][HTML] Critical slowing down as a personalized early warning signal for depression

M Wichers, PC Groot, ESM Psychosystems… - Psychotherapy and …, 2016 - karger.com
The etiology of mental disorders such as major depression (MD) involves continuously
ongoing gene-environment interactions that act in highly person-specific ways. This …

Generic indicators of ecological resilience: inferring the chance of a critical transition

M Scheffer, SR Carpenter, V Dakos… - Annual Review of …, 2015 - annualreviews.org
Ecological resilience is the ability of a system to persist in the face of perturbations. Although
resilience has been a highly influential concept, its interpretation has remained largely …

Resilience indicators: prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts

V Dakos, SR Carpenter… - … Transactions of the …, 2015 - royalsocietypublishing.org
In the vicinity of tip** points—or more precisely bifurcation points—ecosystems recover
slowly from small perturbations. Such slowness may be interpreted as a sign of low …

Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data

V Dakos, SR Carpenter, WA Brock, AM Ellison… - PloS one, 2012 - journals.plos.org
Many dynamical systems, including lakes, organisms, ocean circulation patterns, or financial
markets, are now thought to have tip** points where critical transitions to a contrasting …

Sharp increase in central Oklahoma seismicity since 2008 induced by massive wastewater injection

KM Keranen, M Weingarten, GA Abers, BA Bekins… - Science, 2014 - science.org
Unconventional oil and gas production provides a rapidly growing energy source; however,
high-production states in the United States, such as Oklahoma, face sharply rising numbers …

Early warning of climate tip** points

TM Lenton - Nature climate change, 2011 - nature.com
A tip** point occurs when an external forcing causes a qualitative change in a system.
Human-induced climate change could push several large elements of the climate system …