[Књига][B] The econometric analysis of seasonal time series

E Ghysels, DR Osborn - 2001 - books.google.com
Eric Ghysels and Denise R. Osborn provide a thorough and timely review of the recent
developments in the econometric analysis of seasonal economic time series, summarizing a …

Empirical option pricing: A retrospection

DS Bates - Journal of Econometrics, 2003 - Elsevier
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An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting

MP Clements, DF Hendry - International Journal of Forecasting, 1997 - Elsevier
We assess the usefulness of pre-testing for seasonal roots, based on the HEGY approach,
for out-of-sample forecasting. It is shown that if there are shifts in the deterministic seasonal …

[HTML][HTML] Cambios estructurales en series de tiempo: una revisión del estado del arte

PA Sánchez - Revista Ingenierías Universidad de Medellín, 2008 - scielo.org.co
Los avances recientes en el análisis de series de tiempo reflejan una creciente necesidad
de desarrollar modelos que permitan capturar sus diversas características. Tal es el caso de …

Testing against stochastic trend and seasonality in the presence of unattended breaks and unit roots

F Busetti, AMR Taylor - Journal of Econometrics, 2003 - Elsevier
This paper considers the problem of testing against stochastic trend and seasonality in the
presence of structural breaks and unit roots at frequencies other than those directly under …

The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production

PH Franses, D Van Dijk - International Journal of Forecasting, 2005 - Elsevier
Seasonality often accounts for the major part of short-run movements in quarterly or monthly
macro economic time series. In addition, business cycle nonlinearity is a prominent feature …

On seasonal cycles, unit roots, and mean shifts

PH Franses, TJ Vogelsang - Review of Economics and Statistics, 1998 - direct.mit.edu
The interpretation of seasonality in terms of economic behavior depends on the form of the
econometric time-series model that allows for a description of seasonality. Popular models …

Leitfaden zum Testen und Schätzen von Kointegration

U Hassler - Arbeiten mit ökonometrischen Modellen, 2004 - Springer
Zusammenfassung Vor einem Dutzend Jahren begann die Publikation einer Reihe von
Arbeiten, welche die Ö konometrie unter dem Stich wort „Kointegration “von Grund auf …

Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts

DI Harvey, SJ Leybourne, P Newbold - Economics Letters, 2002 - Elsevier
This paper analyses additive outlier and innovational outlier tests for seasonal unit roots
when seasonal mean shifts occur under the null hypothesis. When the magnitude of the …

Seasonal nonstationarity and near-nonstationarity

E Ghysels, DR Osborn… - A Companion to …, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
Over the last three decades there has been an increasing interest in modeling seasonality.
Progressing from the traditional view that the seasonal pattern is a nuisance which needed …