Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tip** points

DI Armstrong McKay, A Staal, JF Abrams… - Science, 2022 - science.org
Climate tip** points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-
perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts …

Remotely sensing potential climate change tip** points across scales

TM Lenton, JF Abrams, A Bartsch, S Bathiany… - nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Potential climate tip** points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for
improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying …

Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system

N Boers, M Ghil, TF Stocker - Environmental Research Letters, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Specific components of the Earth system may abruptly change their state in response to
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …

Soil moisture determines the recovery time of ecosystems from drought

Y Yao, Y Liu, S Zhou, J Song, B Fu - Global Change Biology, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Recovery time, the time it takes for ecosystems to return to normal states after experiencing
droughts, is critical for assessing the response of ecosystems to droughts; however, the …

Global vegetation resilience linked to water availability and variability

T Smith, N Boers - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
Quantifying the resilience of vegetated ecosystems is key to constraining both present-day
and future global impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Here we apply both empirical …

The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation

N Bochow, N Boers - Science Advances, 2023 - science.org
The Amazon rainforest is threatened by land-use change and increasing drought and fire
frequency. Studies suggest an abrupt dieback of large parts of the rainforest after partial …

Reliability of vegetation resilience estimates depends on biomass density

T Smith, N Boers - Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2023 - nature.com
Concerns have been raised that the resilience of vegetated ecosystems may be negatively
impacted by ongoing anthropogenic climate and land-use change at the global scale …

Uncertainties too large to predict tip** times of major Earth system components from historical data

M Ben-Yami, A Morr, S Bathiany, N Boers - Science Advances, 2024 - science.org
One way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using
observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate …

Vegetation resilience does not increase consistently with greening in China's Loess Plateau

Z Wang, B Fu, X Wu, Y Li, Y Feng, S Wang… - … Earth & Environment, 2023 - nature.com
Recent concurrent processes of vegetation greening and reduced resilience (the capacity to
recover from disturbances) worldwide have brought many uncertainties into sustainable …

The impact of ecological restoration on ecosystem services change modulated by drought and rising CO2

B Huang, F Lu, X Wang, X Wu, H Zheng… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Ecological restoration projects (ERPs) are an indispensable component of natural climate
solutions and have proven to be very important for reversing environmental degradation in …