A predictive timeline of wildlife population collapse

F Cerini, DZ Childs, CF Clements - Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2023 - nature.com
Contemporary rates of biodiversity decline emphasize the need for reliable ecological
forecasting, but current methods vary in their ability to predict the declines of real-world …

Tip** positive change

TM Lenton - … Transactions of the Royal Society B, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Tip** points exist in social, ecological and climate systems and those systems are
increasingly causally intertwined in the Anthropocene. Climate change and biosphere …

[PDF][PDF] Decision-making options for managing risk

M New, D Reckien, D Viner, C Adler… - … of Working Group II …, 2022 - research.utwente.nl
Addressing the impacts and risks associated with observed and projected climate change
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …

Quantifying resilience

DG Angeler, CR Allen - Journal of Applied Ecology, 2016 - JSTOR
The biosphere is under unprecedented pressure, reflected in rapid changes in our global
ecological, social, technological and economic systems. In many cases, ecological and …

Contributions of Quaternary botany to modern ecology and biogeography

HJB Birks - Plant Ecology & Diversity, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT Quaternary (last 2.6 million years) botany involves studying plant megafossils
(eg tree stumps), macrofossils (eg seeds, leaves), and microfossils (eg pollen, spores) …

Early warning signals have limited applicability to empirical lake data

DA O'Brien, S Deb, G Gal, SJ Thackeray… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Research aimed at identifying indicators of persistent abrupt shifts in ecological
communities, aka regime shifts, has led to the development of a suite of early warning …

A review of social-ecological system resilience: Mechanism, assessment and management

T Li, Y Dong, Z Liu - Science of the Total Environment, 2020 - Elsevier
Social-ecological system (SES) resilience involves the large information and complex
relationships of nature, society and economy. To promote multi-disciplinary integration to …

A science agenda to inform natural resource management decisions in an era of ecological transformation

SD Crausbay, HR Sofaer, AE Cravens, BC Chaffin… - …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Earth is experiencing widespread ecological transformation in terrestrial, freshwater, and
marine ecosystems that is attributable to directional environmental changes, especially …

Indicators of transitions in biological systems

CF Clements, A Ozgul - Ecology letters, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In the face of global biodiversity declines, predicting the fate of biological systems is a key
goal in ecology. One popular approach is the search for early warning signals (EWS s) …

The Global-DEP conceptual framework—research on dryland ecosystems to promote sustainability

B Fu, M Stafford-Smith, Y Wang, B Wu, X Yu… - Current Opinion in …, 2021 - Elsevier
Given the increasing speed and intensity of ongoing climate change and human
interventions, more systematic research is needed to realize the Sustainable Development …