Spatiotemporal forecasting in earth system science: Methods, uncertainties, predictability and future directions
Spatiotemporal forecasting (STF) extends traditional time series forecasting or spatial
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …
A self-attention–based neural network for three-dimensional multivariate modeling and its skillful ENSO predictions
L Zhou, RH Zhang - Science Advances, 2023 - science.org
Large biases and uncertainties remain in real-time predictions of El Niño–Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) using process-based dynamical models; recent advances in data-driven …
Oscillation (ENSO) using process-based dynamical models; recent advances in data-driven …
The 2020–2021 prolonged La Niña evolution in the tropical Pacific
C Gao, M Chen, L Zhou, L Feng, RH Zhang - Science China Earth …, 2022 - Springer
The evolution of sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Pacific during 2020–2021
indicates a second-year cooling in late 2021 again, following the 2020 La Niña event. Its …
indicates a second-year cooling in late 2021 again, following the 2020 La Niña event. Its …
A transformer‐based deep learning model for successful predictions of the 2021 second‐year La Niña condition
C Gao, L Zhou, RH Zhang - Geophysical Research Letters, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A purely data‐driven and transformer‐based model with a novel self‐attention mechanism
(3D‐Geoformer) is used to make predictions by adopting a rolling predictive manner similar …
(3D‐Geoformer) is used to make predictions by adopting a rolling predictive manner similar …
ENSO predictability over the past 137 years based on a CESM ensemble prediction system
In this study, we conducted an ensemble retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 using
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
A hybrid neural network model for ENSO prediction in combination with principal oscillation pattern analyses
L Zhou, RH Zhang - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2022 - Springer
Abstract El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can be currently predicted reasonably well six
months and longer, but large biases and uncertainties remain in its real-time prediction …
months and longer, but large biases and uncertainties remain in its real-time prediction …
Impact of ENSO events on droughts in China
A Lv, L Fan, W Zhang - Atmosphere, 2022 - mdpi.com
The El Niño Southe58rn Oscillation (ENSO) is a typical oscillation affecting climate change,
and its stable periodicity, long-lasting effect, and predictable characteristics have become …
and its stable periodicity, long-lasting effect, and predictable characteristics have become …
Impact of the deep chlorophyll maximum in the equatorial pacific as revealed in a coupled ocean GCM‐ecosystem model
Q Shi, RH Zhang, F Tian - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A coupled ocean general circulation model (OGCM)‐ocean ecosystem model is used to
investigate the effects of the deep chlorophyll maximum (DCM) on the ocean state in the …
investigate the effects of the deep chlorophyll maximum (DCM) on the ocean state in the …
Joint impacts of winter North Pacific Oscillation and early spring Aleutian Low intensity on the following winter ENSO
This study examines the joint impacts of the winter North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and early
spring Aleutian Low intensity (ALI) on the following winter El Niño-Southern Oscillation …
spring Aleutian Low intensity (ALI) on the following winter El Niño-Southern Oscillation …
A mechanism for the generation of a warm SST anomaly in the western equatorial Pacific: A pathway perspective
C Gao, RH Zhang - Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Processes leading to the onset and development of an El Niño event in the tropical Pacific
remain elusive. Observed data and Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) simulations …
remain elusive. Observed data and Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) simulations …