Infectious disease pandemic planning and response: Incorporating decision analysis

FM Shearer, R Moss, J McVernon, JV Ross… - PLoS …, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Infectious disease pandemic planning and response: Incorporating decision analysis | PLOS
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Ecological interventions to prevent and manage zoonotic pathogen spillover

SH Sokolow, N Nova, KM Pepin… - … of the Royal …, 2019 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Spillover of a pathogen from a wildlife reservoir into a human or livestock host requires the
pathogen to overcome a hierarchical series of barriers. Interventions aimed at one or more …

Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks

RN Thompson, JE Stockwin, RD van Gaalen… - Epidemics, 2019 - Elsevier
Accurate estimation of the parameters characterising infectious disease transmission is vital
for optimising control interventions during epidemics. A valuable metric for assessing the …

Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies

MJ Keeling, EM Hill, EE Gorsich… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Efforts to suppress transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK have seen non-pharmaceutical
interventions being invoked. The most severe measures to date include all restaurants, pubs …

The changing dynamics of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1: Next steps for management & science in North America

JA Harvey, JM Mullinax, MC Runge, DJ Prosser - Biological Conservation, 2023 - Elsevier
Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 was introduced in North America in
late 2021 through trans-Atlantic pathways via migratory birds. These introductions have …

[BOOK][B] Epidemics: models and data using R

ON Bjørnstad - 2022 - books.google.com
This book is designed to be a practical study in infectious disease dynamics. It offers an easy-
to-follow implementation and analysis of mathematical epidemiology. It focuses on recent …

[HTML][HTML] Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics

ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …

Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty

K Shea, RK Borchering, WJM Probert… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Policymakers must make management decisions despite incomplete knowledge and
conflicting model projections. Little guidance exists for the rapid, representative, and …

Machine learning for data-centric epidemic forecasting

A Rodríguez, H Kamarthi, P Agarwal, J Ho… - Nature Machine …, 2024 - nature.com
The COVID-19 pandemic emphasized the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision
makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy. Forecasting …

[HTML][HTML] Approximate Bayesian Computation for infectious disease modelling

A Minter, R Retkute - Epidemics, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) techniques are a suite of model fitting
methods which can be implemented without a using likelihood function. In order to use ABC …