Calibration of individual-based models to epidemiological data: A systematic review

CM Hazelbag, J Dushoff, EM Dominic… - PLoS computational …, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Individual-based models (IBMs) informing public health policy should be calibrated to data
and provide estimates of uncertainty. Two main components of model-calibration methods …

Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling

B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
The estimation of parameters and model structure for informing infectious disease response
has become a focal point of the recent pandemic. However, it has also highlighted a …

Approximate Bayesian computation and simulation-based inference for complex stochastic epidemic models

TJ McKinley, I Vernon, I Andrianakis, N McCreesh… - 2018 - projecteuclid.org
Approximate Bayesian Computation and Simulation-Based Inference for Complex Stochastic
Epidemic Models Page 1 Statistical Science 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1, 4–18 https://doi.org/10.1214/17-STS618 …

June: open-source individual-based epidemiology simulation

J Aylett-Bullock, C Cuesta-Lazaro… - Royal Society …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We introduce June, an open-source framework for the detailed simulation of epidemics on
the basis of social interactions in a virtual population constructed from geographically …

The costs of scaling up HIV and syphilis testing in low-and middle-income countries: a systematic review

R Adawiyah, OPM Saweri, DC Boettiger… - Health policy and …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Around two-thirds of all new HIV infections and 90% of syphilis cases occur in low-and
middle-income countries (LMICs). Testing is a key strategy for the prevention and treatment …

FAVITES: simultaneous simulation of transmission networks, phylogenetic trees and sequences

N Moshiri, M Ragonnet-Cronin, JO Wertheim… - …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Motivation The ability to simulate epidemics as a function of model parameters allows
insights that are unobtainable from real datasets. Further, reconstructing transmission …

Bayesian uncertainty analysis for complex systems biology models: emulation, global parameter searches and evaluation of gene functions

I Vernon, J Liu, M Goldstein, J Rowe, J Top**… - BMC systems …, 2018 - Springer
Background Many mathematical models have now been employed across every area of
systems biology. These models increasingly involve large numbers of unknown parameters …

Transmission reduction, health benefits, and upper-bound costs of interventions to improve retention on antiretroviral therapy: a combined analysis of three …

A Bershteyn, L Jamieson, HY Kim, I Platais… - The Lancet Global …, 2022 - thelancet.com
Background In this so-called treat-all era, antiretroviral therapy (ART) interruptions contribute
to an increasing proportion of HIV infections and deaths. Many strategies to improve …

Cost and cost-effectiveness of a universal HIV testing and treatment intervention in Zambia and South Africa: evidence and projections from the HPTN 071 (PopART) …

R Thomas, WJM Probert, R Sauter… - The Lancet Global …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Summary Background The HPTN 071 (PopART) trial showed that a combination HIV
prevention package including universal HIV testing and treatment (UTT) reduced population …

Towards 90‐90‐90 Target: Factors Influencing Availability, Access, and Utilization of HIV Services—A Qualitative Study in 19 Ugandan Districts

F Bajunirwe, F Tumwebaze, D Akakimpa… - BioMed research …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Background. UNAIDS has set a new target 90‐90‐90 by 2020. To achieve this target, current
programs need to address challenges that limit access, availability, and utilization of HIV …