Explaining the flaws in human random generation as local sampling with momentum
In many tasks, human behavior is far noisier than is optimal. Yet when asked to behave
randomly, people are typically too predictable. We argue that these apparently contrasting …
randomly, people are typically too predictable. We argue that these apparently contrasting …
The autocorrelated Bayesian sampler: A rational process for probability judgments, estimates, confidence intervals, choices, confidence judgments, and response …
Normative models of decision-making that optimally transform noisy (sensory) information
into categorical decisions qualitatively mismatch human behavior. Indeed, leading …
into categorical decisions qualitatively mismatch human behavior. Indeed, leading …
Noise in cognition: bug or feature?
Noise in behavior is often viewed as a nuisance: while the mind aims to take the best
possible action, it is let down by unreliability in the sensory and response systems. How …
possible action, it is let down by unreliability in the sensory and response systems. How …
[HTML][HTML] The statistics of cognitive variability: Explaining common patterns in individuals, groups and financial markets
Abstract Psychological variability (ie,“noise”) displays interesting structure which is hidden
by the common practice of averaging over trials. Interesting noise structure, termed 'stylized …
by the common practice of averaging over trials. Interesting noise structure, termed 'stylized …
Comparing serial reproduction and serial prediction of random walk
Current studies of the serial reproduction paradigm focused on stimuli that were statistically
independent of each other. We explored serial reproductions of random walk series and …
independent of each other. We explored serial reproductions of random walk series and …