Understanding outcome bias

A Brownback, MA Kuhn - Games and Economic Behavior, 2019 - Elsevier
Disentangling effort and luck is critical when evaluating outcomes. In a principal-agent
experiment, we demonstrate that principals' judgments of agents are biased by luck, despite …

Good decision vs. good results: Outcome bias in the evaluation of financial agents

C König-Kersting, M Pollmann, J Potters… - Theory and …, 2021 - Springer
We document outcome bias in situations where an agent makes risky financial decisions for
a principal. In three experiments, we show that the principal's evaluations and financial …

[HTML][HTML] The effects of social information and luck on risk behavior of small-scale fishers at Lake Victoria

A Dannenberg, F Diekert, P Händel - Journal of Economic Psychology, 2022 - Elsevier
We use a lab-in-the-field experiment to examine how personal experience of good or bad
luck and information about the behavior of others influence the risk taking behavior of small …

Long-term relationships, group lending, and peer monitoring in microfinance: Experimental evidence

S Cornée, D Masclet - Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Microfinance is generally associated with high repayment rates. However, it is not clear what
drives such high repayment rates? Does the success of microfinance results only from the …

Delegated risk-taking, accountability, and outcome bias

RM Gillenkirch, L Velthuis - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2023 - Springer
In a sequence of experiments, this study investigates how people evaluate others who make
risky decisions on their behalf, and how such evaluations affect delegated risk-taking. A …

Repayment and exclusion in a microfinance experiment

JM Baland, L Gangadharan, P Maitra… - Journal of Economic …, 2017 - Elsevier
Microfinance groups often engage in a variety of collective activities not directly related to
credit. We design a three-stage repayment game to examine how the existence of these …

When risky decisions generate externalities

ACM de Oliveira - Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2021 - Springer
Many risky decisions generate either positive externalities (eg, opening a small business,
engaging in research and development, vaccinating) or negative externalities (eg, smoking …

Blameable and imperfect: A study of risk-taking and accountability

JA Aimone, X Pan - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2020 - Elsevier
In this paper, we examine how stakeholders hold trustees accountable in voluntary
relationships. Trustees are economic agents such as physicians, entrepreneurs, or political …

My Risk, Your Risk, and Our Risk: Costly Deviation in Delegated Risk-Taking Environments

JA Aimone, X Pan - Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Risk choice delegation is pervasive in financial environments. While previous research has
explored how agents balance self-interest with interests of passive investors little is known …

Do Lucky People Reciprocate More? The Effect of Outcome Bias on Trustworthiness

PA Muchtar - Studies in Microeconomics, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
This study investigates how reciprocity works in a simple trust game when the subjects are
framed as either lucky or unlucky. We induce luckiness perception to the second mover by …