The timing of recurring biological and seasonal environmental events is changing on a
global scale relative to temperature and other climate drivers. This study considers the Gulf …

Marine heatwaves (MHWs)—periods of exceptionally warm ocean temperature lasting
weeks to years—are now widely recognized for their capacity to disrupt marine ecosystems …

The ocean is a key component of the Earth system (Chapter 1) as it provides essential life
supporting services (Inniss et al. 2017). For example, it stores heat trapped in the …

Marine biota are redistributing at a rapid pace in response to climate change and shifting
seascapes. While changes in fish populations and community structure threaten the …

Understanding tip** point dynamics in harvested ecosystems is of crucial importance for
sustainable resource management because ignoring their existence imperils social …

Ecological forecasting provides a powerful set of methods for predicting short‐and long‐term
change in living systems. Forecasts are now widely produced, enabling proactive …

Efforts to manage living marine resources (LMRs) under climate change need projections of
future ocean conditions, yet most global climate models (GCMs) poorly represent critical …

With the majority of the global human population living in coastal regions, correctly
characterizing the climate risk that ocean-dependent communities and businesses are …

Forecasting weather has become commonplace, but as society faces novel and uncertain
environmental conditions there is a critical need to forecast ecology. Forewarning of …

Extreme environmental events are often catalysts for adaptive changes. Like many such
events, the 2012 marine heatwave in the Gulf of Maine revealed unexpected connections …