Random autoregressive models: A structured overview

M Regis, P Serra, ER van den Heuvel - Econometric Reviews, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are
powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series …

Global supply chain disruptions and financial conditions

W Ginn - Economics Letters, 2024 - Elsevier
Supply chain disruptions have emerged as a critical factor influencing global economic
conditions. This research examines the implications of global supply chain disruptions via …

Managing natural resource prices in a geopolitical risk environment

D Aloui, R Benkraiem, K Guesmi, H Mzoughi - Resources Policy, 2023 - Elsevier
In this paper, we analyze the potential impact of geopolitical risks on various natural
resources such as oil, coal, copper, and zinc, from January 2005 to September 2022. Firstly …

BVAR: Bayesian vector autoregressions with hierarchical prior selection in R

N Kuschnig, L Vashold - Journal of Statistical Software, 2021 - jstatsoft.org
Vector autoregression (VAR) models are widely used for multivariate time series analysis in
macroeconomics, finance, and related fields. Bayesian methods are often employed to deal …

Economic recovery forecasts under impacts of COVID-19

B Teng, S Wang, Y Shi, Y Sun, W Wang, W Hu, C Shi - Economic modelling, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a joint model by combining the time-varying coefficient susceptible-
infected-removal model with the hierarchical Bayesian vector autoregression model. This …

[HTML][HTML] Bitcoin network mechanics: Forecasting the btc closing price using vector auto-regression models based on endogenous and exogenous feature variables

A Ibrahim, R Kashef, M Li, E Valencia… - Journal of Risk and …, 2020 - mdpi.com
The Bitcoin (BTC) market presents itself as a new unique medium currency, and it is often
hailed as the “currency of the future”. Simulating the BTC market in the price discovery …

Agricultural fluctuations and global economic conditions

W Ginn - Review of World Economics, 2024 - Springer
This research examines the global implications of agricultural production and price
fluctuations via Global Bayesian Vector Autoregression (GBVAR) model. We develop a …

A VECM analysis of Bitcoin price using time-varying cointegration approach

Y Lee, JH Rhee - Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies: 선물 …, 2022 - emerald.com
This study proposed an optimal model to examine the relationship between the Bitcoin price
and six macroeconomic variables–the Bitcoin price, Standard and Poor's 500 volatility index …

[HTML][HTML] The impact of ECB's Quantitative Easing on cryptocurrency markets during times of crisis

D Aloui, R Zouaoui, H Rachdi, K Guesmi… - Research in International …, 2024 - Elsevier
In this paper, we investigate non-linear linkages between Bitcoin and the unconventional
monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, we examine whether a …

Investigating the asymmetric effect of income inequality on financial fragility in South Africa and selected emerging markets: A Bayesian approach with hierarchical …

LT Zungu, L Greyling - International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2023 - emerald.com
Investigating the asymmetric effect of income inequality on financial fragility in South Africa and
selected emerging markets: a Bayesian approach with hierarchical priors | Emerald Insight Books …