Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Revisiting concepts of thermal physiology: predicting responses of mammals to climate change

D Mitchell, EP Snelling, RS Hetem… - Journal of Animal …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The accuracy of predictive models (also known as mechanistic or causal models) of animal
responses to climate change depends on properly incorporating the principles of heat …

Spatial models reveal the microclimatic buffering capacity of old-growth forests

SJK Frey, AS Hadley, SL Johnson, M Schulze… - Science …, 2016 - science.org
Climate change is predicted to cause widespread declines in biodiversity, but these
predictions are derived from coarse-resolution climate models applied at global scales …

The greenscape shapes surfing of resource waves in a large migratory herbivore

EO Aikens, MJ Kauffman, JA Merkle… - Ecology …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Green Wave Hypothesis posits that herbivore migration manifests in response
to waves of spring green‐up (ie green‐wave surfing). Nonetheless, empirical support for the …

Cascading impacts of large-carnivore extirpation in an African ecosystem

JL Atkins, RA Long, J Pansu, JH Daskin, AB Potter… - Science, 2019 - science.org
Populations of the world's largest carnivores are declining and now occupy mere fractions of
their historical ranges. Theory predicts that when apex predators disappear, large …

Plant thermoregulation: energetics, trait–environment interactions, and carbon economics

ST Michaletz, MD Weiser, J Zhou, M Kaspari… - Trends in ecology & …, 2015 - cell.com
Building a more predictive trait-based ecology requires mechanistic theory based on first
principles. We present a general theoretical approach to link traits and climate. We use plant …

Mechanistic and correlative models of ecological niches

AT Peterson, M Papeş, J Soberón - 2015 - kuscholarworks.ku.edu
The suite of factors that drives where and under what conditions a species occurs has
become the focus of intense research interest. Three general categories of methods have …

Nutritional physiology and ecology of wildlife in a changing world

K Birnie-Gauvin, KS Peiman… - Conservation …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Over the last century, humans have modified landscapes, generated pollution and provided
opportunities for exotic species to invade areas where they did not evolve. In addition …

Towards a mechanistic understanding of the responses of large terrestrial mammals to heat and aridity associated with climate change

A Fuller, D Mitchell, SK Maloney, RS Hetem - Climate Change Responses, 2016 - Springer
In the face of climate change, the life history traits of large terrestrial mammals will prevent
them from adapting genetically at a sufficient pace to keep track with changing …

Time and ecological resilience: can diurnal animals compensate for climate change by shifting to nocturnal activity?

O Levy, T Dayan, WP Porter… - Ecological …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Considerable research is aimed at develo** predictions of ecosystem responses to
climate change, focusing on the spatial scale, such as range shifts and contractions, as well …