Machine learning advances for time series forecasting
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
Cross validation for model selection: a review with examples from ecology
Specifying, assessing, and selecting among candidate statistical models is fundamental to
ecological research. Commonly used approaches to model selection are based on …
ecological research. Commonly used approaches to model selection are based on …
Statistical learning with sparsity
In this monograph, we have attempted to summarize the actively develo** field of
statistical learning with sparsity. A sparse statistical model is one having only a small …
statistical learning with sparsity. A sparse statistical model is one having only a small …
Principles of confounder selection
TJ VanderWeele - European journal of epidemiology, 2019 - Springer
Selecting an appropriate set of confounders for which to control is critical for reliable causal
inference. Recent theoretical and methodological developments have helped clarify a …
inference. Recent theoretical and methodological developments have helped clarify a …
Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net
We propose the elastic net, a new regularization and variable selection method. Real world
data and a simulation study show that the elastic net often outperforms the lasso, while …
data and a simulation study show that the elastic net often outperforms the lasso, while …
Pretest with caution: Event-study estimates after testing for parallel trends
J Roth - American Economic Review: Insights, 2022 - aeaweb.org
This paper discusses two important limitations of the common practice of testing for
preexisting differences in trends (“pre-trends”) when using difference-in-differences and …
preexisting differences in trends (“pre-trends”) when using difference-in-differences and …
Distribution-free predictive inference for regression
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression,
using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …
using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …
Panning for gold:'model-X'knockoffs for high dimensional controlled variable selection
Many contemporary large-scale applications involve building interpretable models linking a
large set of potential covariates to a response in a non-linear fashion, such as when the …
large set of potential covariates to a response in a non-linear fashion, such as when the …
Identification of and correction for publication bias
Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Selective publication
leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. We propose two approaches for …
leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. We propose two approaches for …
[PDF][PDF] An honest approach to parallel trends
This paper proposes tools for robust inference for difference-in-differences and eventstudy
designs. Instead of requiring that the parallel trends assumption holds exactly, we impose …
designs. Instead of requiring that the parallel trends assumption holds exactly, we impose …