Machine learning advances for time series forecasting

RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of economic …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …

Cross validation for model selection: a review with examples from ecology

LA Yates, Z Aandahl, SA Richards… - Ecological …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Specifying, assessing, and selecting among candidate statistical models is fundamental to
ecological research. Commonly used approaches to model selection are based on …

Statistical learning with sparsity

T Hastie, R Tibshirani… - Monographs on statistics …, 2015 - api.taylorfrancis.com
In this monograph, we have attempted to summarize the actively develo** field of
statistical learning with sparsity. A sparse statistical model is one having only a small …

Principles of confounder selection

TJ VanderWeele - European journal of epidemiology, 2019 - Springer
Selecting an appropriate set of confounders for which to control is critical for reliable causal
inference. Recent theoretical and methodological developments have helped clarify a …

Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net

H Zou, T Hastie - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2005 - academic.oup.com
We propose the elastic net, a new regularization and variable selection method. Real world
data and a simulation study show that the elastic net often outperforms the lasso, while …

Pretest with caution: Event-study estimates after testing for parallel trends

J Roth - American Economic Review: Insights, 2022 - aeaweb.org
This paper discusses two important limitations of the common practice of testing for
preexisting differences in trends (“pre-trends”) when using difference-in-differences and …

Distribution-free predictive inference for regression

J Lei, M G'Sell, A Rinaldo, RJ Tibshirani… - Journal of the …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression,
using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …

Panning for gold:'model-X'knockoffs for high dimensional controlled variable selection

E Candes, Y Fan, L Janson, J Lv - Journal of the Royal Statistical …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
Many contemporary large-scale applications involve building interpretable models linking a
large set of potential covariates to a response in a non-linear fashion, such as when the …

Identification of and correction for publication bias

I Andrews, M Kasy - American Economic Review, 2019 - aeaweb.org
Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Selective publication
leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. We propose two approaches for …

[PDF][PDF] An honest approach to parallel trends

A Rambachan, J Roth - Unpublished manuscript, Harvard …, 2019 - jonathandroth.com
This paper proposes tools for robust inference for difference-in-differences and eventstudy
designs. Instead of requiring that the parallel trends assumption holds exactly, we impose …