Forecasting volatility of stock indices: Improved GARCH-type models through combined weighted volatility measure and weighted volatility indicators

Z De Khoo, KH Ng, YB Koh, KH Ng - The North American Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an unbiased combined weighted (CW) volatility measure and weighted
volatility indicators (WVI) that integrates the return-and range-based volatility measures to …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting forex market volatility using deep learning models and complexity measures

PI Zitis, SM Potirakis, A Alexandridis - Journal of Risk and Financial …, 2024 - mdpi.com
In this article, we examine whether incorporating complexity measures as features in deep
learning (DL) algorithms enhances their accuracy in predicting forex market volatility. Our …

[HTML][HTML] Robust estimation of the range-based GARCH model: Forecasting volatility, value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies

P Fiszeder, M Małecka, P Molnár - Economic Modelling, 2024 - Elsevier
Traditional volatility models do not work well when volatility changes rapidly and in the
presence of outliers. Therefore, two lines of improvements have been developed separately …

Bayesian analysis for functional coefficient conditional autoregressive range model with applications

B Wang, Y Qian, E Yu - Economic Modelling, 2025 - Elsevier
Financial market time series exhibit significant nonlinearity and volatility, and investors, with
limited attention, are influenced by abnormal fluctuations. We propose the Functional …

Peaks over Threshold Approach with a time-varying scale parameter and range-based volatility estimator for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall estimation.

M Fałdziński - Statistical Review/Przegląd Statystyczny, 2024 - search.ebscohost.com
Exploiting daily high-low range has become increasingly popular among volatility models
due to valuable information about volatility dynamics. It has been shown in the literature that …