Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems: Pitfalls and potential

G Wright, G Cairns, FA O'Brien, P Goodwin - European Journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper provides a review and evaluation of the use of scenario methods from the
Intuitive Logics (IL) school to address so-called 'wicked problems'. Scenario planning has …

[HTML][HTML] Scenario-driven roadmap** for technology foresight

M Hussain, E Tapinos, L Knight - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper presents a novel method for using scenarios for technology foresight.
Technology foresight is a well-established discipline, practised with popular foresight …

Extending the knowledge base of foresight: The contribution of text mining

V Kayser, K Blind - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2017 - Elsevier
While the volume of data from heterogeneous sources grows considerably, foresight and its
methods rarely benefit from such available data. This work concentrates on textual data and …

[HTML][HTML] Business ecosystems and the view from the future: The use of corporate foresight by stakeholders of the Ro-Ro ship** ecosystem in the Baltic Sea Region

MJ Spaniol, NJ Rowland - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2022 - Elsevier
Ecosystems are viewed as important sources of innovation. While contracts, rules, policies,
and industrial standards have been identified as important for coordinating and aligning …

Scenarios in business and management: The current stock and research opportunities

V Tiberius, C Siglow, J Sendra-García - Journal of business research, 2020 - Elsevier
The scenario technique is widely used to cope with uncertainties plan for alternate future
situations. The extensive research led to a scattered literature landscape. To organize the …

[HTML][HTML] Towards 5G: Scenario-based assessment of the future supply and demand for mobile telecommunications infrastructure

E Oughton, Z Frias, T Russell, D Sicker… - … Forecasting and Social …, 2018 - Elsevier
Moving from 4G LTE to 5G is an archetypal example of technological change. Mobile
Network Operators (MNOs) who fail to adapt will likely lose market share. Hitherto …

Learning to use the future: develo** foresight capabilities through scenario processes

M Rhisiart, R Miller, S Brooks - Technological Forecasting and social …, 2015 - Elsevier
Organizational learning is one type of value created by scenarios and strategic foresight
within companies. However, relatively little attention has been devoted to what and how …

Rethinking the 2× 2 scenario method: Grid or frames?

R Ramirez, A Wilkinson - Technological forecasting and social change, 2014 - Elsevier
Is a well-accepted method widely used by practitioners unproblematic? In this study, we
suggest that this is not the case. The 2× 2 matrix approach has been stated by researchers …

The involvement of middle management in strategy development—Development and implementation of a foresight-based approach

IL Darkow - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2015 - Elsevier
In times of increasingly uncertain and volatile markets, corporate foresight is becoming a
relevant contributor to the long-term strategy of players, particularly multinational ones. A …

AI‐assisted scenario generation for strategic planning

MJ Spaniol, NJ Rowland - Futures & Foresight Science, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This “reflections from practice” piece explores some of the implications of emerging,
artificially intelligent tools for the futures and foresight prac‐ademic community. The authors …