Performative prediction

J Perdomo, T Zrnic… - … on Machine Learning, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
When predictions support decisions they may influence the outcome they aim to predict. We
call such predictions performative; the prediction influences the target. Performativity is a …

Outside the echo chamber: Optimizing the performative risk

JP Miller, JC Perdomo, T Zrnic - International Conference on …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
In performative prediction, predictions guide decision-making and hence can influence the
distribution of future data. To date, work on performative prediction has focused on finding …

Strategic classification is causal modeling in disguise

J Miller, S Milli, M Hardt - International Conference on …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior
to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation …

Anticipating performativity by predicting from predictions

C Mendler-Dünner, F Ding… - Advances in neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Predictions about people, such as their expected educational achievement or their credit
risk, can be performative and shape the outcome that they are designed to predict …

Stochastic optimization with decision-dependent distributions

D Drusvyatskiy, L **ao - Mathematics of Operations …, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to
the decision variables. This is the case, for example, when members of the population …

Who leads and who follows in strategic classification?

T Zrnic, E Mazumdar, S Sastry… - Advances in Neural …, 2021 - proceedings.neurips.cc
As predictive models are deployed into the real world, they must increasingly contend with
strategic behavior. A growing body of work on strategic classification treats this problem as a …

Performative prediction in a stateful world

G Brown, S Hod, I Kalemaj - International conference on …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Deployed supervised machine learning models make predictions that interact with and
influence the world. This phenomenon is called performative prediction by Perdomo et …

Strategic classification in the dark

G Ghalme, V Nair, I Eilat… - International …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
Strategic classification studies the interaction between a classification rule and the strategic
agents it governs. Agents respond by manipulating their features, under the assumption that …

Learning strategy-aware linear classifiers

Y Chen, Y Liu, C Podimata - Advances in Neural …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We address the question of repeatedly learning linear classifiers against agents who
are\emph {strategically} trying to\emph {game} the deployed classifiers, and we use …

Causal strategic linear regression

Y Shavit, B Edelman, B Axelrod - … Conference on Machine …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
In many predictive decision-making scenarios, such as credit scoring and academic testing,
a decision-maker must construct a model that accounts for agents' propensity to “game” the …