Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

Kee** pace with marine heatwaves

NJ Holbrook, A Sen Gupta, ECJ Oliver… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2020 - nature.com
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged extreme oceanic warm water events. They can
have devastating impacts on marine ecosystems—for example, causing mass coral …

[PDF][PDF] Decision-making options for managing risk

M New, D Reckien, D Viner, C Adler… - … of Working Group II …, 2022 - research.utwente.nl
Addressing the impacts and risks associated with observed and projected climate change
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions

CJ White, DIV Domeisen, N Acharya… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Advances in the Application and Utility of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictions in: Bulletin of
the American Meteorological Society Volume 103 Issue 6 (2022) Jump to Content Logo Logo …

The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 1. Predictability of the stratosphere

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere has been identified as an important source of predictability for a range of
processes on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scales. Knowledge about S2S …

Sub‐seasonal forecasting with a large ensemble of deep‐learning weather prediction models

JA Weyn, DR Durran, R Caruana… - Journal of Advances …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …

Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards

B Merz, C Kuhlicke, M Kunz, M Pittore… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …

Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond

A Mariotti, C Baggett, EA Barnes… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …

The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A multimodel subseasonal prediction experiment

K Pegion, BP Kirtman, E Becker… - Bulletin of the …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX) is a multimodel subseasonal prediction
experiment designed around operational requirements with the goal of improving …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe

DIV Domeisen, CJ White… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Extreme weather events have devastating impacts on human health, economic activities,
ecosystems, and infrastructure. It is therefore crucial to anticipate extremes and their impacts …