Prediction and projection of heatwaves
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
Kee** pace with marine heatwaves
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged extreme oceanic warm water events. They can
have devastating impacts on marine ecosystems—for example, causing mass coral …
have devastating impacts on marine ecosystems—for example, causing mass coral …
A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models
Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …
[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …
Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
Sub‐seasonal forecasting with a large ensemble of deep‐learning weather prediction models
We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …
Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …
[HTML][HTML] The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A multimodel subseasonal prediction experiment
The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment in:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 100 Issue 10 (2019) Jump to …
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 100 Issue 10 (2019) Jump to …
The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …