NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast
and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad …

The dominant paradigm of experiments in the social and behavioral sciences views an
experiment as a test of a theory, where the theory is assumed to generalize beyond the …

Consensus on standards for evaluating models and theories is an integral part of every
science. Nonetheless, in psychology, relatively little focus has been placed on defining …

Agent-based modeling is increasingly being used in computational epidemiology to
characterize important behavioral dimensions, such as the heterogeneity of the individual …

An increasing number of data-driven decision aids are being developed to provide humans
with advice to improve decision-making around important issues such as personal health …

Theories and models are central to Human Factors/Ergonomics (HFE) sciences for
producing new knowledge, pushing the boundaries of the field, and providing a basis for …

The social sciences have produced an impressive body of research on determinants of
fertility outcomes, or whether and when people have children. However, the strength of …

The fit of an item response model is typically conceptualized as whether a given model
could have generated the data. In this study, for an alternative view of fit,“predictive fit,” …

The rapid development of machine learning has led to new opportunities for applying these
methods to the study of human decision making. We highlight some of these opportunities …

Ground Truth program was designed to evaluate social science modeling approaches using
simulation test beds with ground truth intentionally and systematically embedded to …