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The three faces of overconfidence
DA Moore, D Schatz - Social and Personality Psychology …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Overconfidence has been studied in 3 distinct ways. Overestimation is thinking that you are
better than you are. Overplacement is the exaggerated belief that you are better than others …
better than you are. Overplacement is the exaggerated belief that you are better than others …
Overprecision in judgment
Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of
overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its …
overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its …
The path to glory is paved with hierarchy: When hierarchical differentiation increases group effectiveness
Two experiments examined the psychological and biological antecedents of hierarchical
differentiation and the resulting consequences for productivity and conflict within small …
differentiation and the resulting consequences for productivity and conflict within small …
Overconfidence and financial decision-making: a meta-analysis
M Grežo - Review of Behavioral Finance, 2021 - emerald.com
Purpose This meta-analysis reviews and summarizes the results of 34 studies to investigate
the relationship between overconfidence and financial decision-making …
the relationship between overconfidence and financial decision-making …
A potential pitfall of passion: Passion is associated with performance overconfidence
Having passion is almost universally lauded. People strive to follow their passion at work,
and organizations increasingly seek out passionate employees. Supporting the benefits of …
and organizations increasingly seek out passionate employees. Supporting the benefits of …
Playing the trump card: Why we select overconfident leaders and why it matters
Five studies test the relationship between overconfidence and perceived leadership
suitability. Study 1, a field study wherein HR consultants assessed candidates for an …
suitability. Study 1, a field study wherein HR consultants assessed candidates for an …
Overconfidence: A common psychological attribute of entrepreneurs which leads to firm failure
RP Singh - New England Journal of Entrepreneurship, 2020 - emerald.com
Purpose There has been significant growth in entrepreneurship research over the past
several decades. Yet with all of the knowledge gained and presumably improved training of …
several decades. Yet with all of the knowledge gained and presumably improved training of …
Overprecision is a property of thinking systems.
DA Moore - Psychological Review, 2023 - psycnet.apa.org
Overprecision is the excessive certainty in the accuracy of one's judgment. This article
proposes a new theory to explain it. The theory holds that overprecision in judgment results …
proposes a new theory to explain it. The theory holds that overprecision in judgment results …
The persistence of miscalibration
ABSTRACT Using 14,800 forecasts of one-year S&P 500 returns made by Chief Financial
Officers over a 12-year period, we track the individual executives who provide multiple …
Officers over a 12-year period, we track the individual executives who provide multiple …
“Yes, we know!”(Over) confidence in general knowledge among Austrian entrepreneurs
Overconfidence has been reported to be a common bias among entrepreneurs and might be
one cause of the high failure rates observed for new ventures. In this study, we investigate …
one cause of the high failure rates observed for new ventures. In this study, we investigate …