The three faces of overconfidence

DA Moore, D Schatz - Social and Personality Psychology …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Overconfidence has been studied in 3 distinct ways. Overestimation is thinking that you are
better than you are. Overplacement is the exaggerated belief that you are better than others …

Overprecision in judgment

DA Moore, ER Tenney, U Haran - The Wiley Blackwell …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of
overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its …

The path to glory is paved with hierarchy: When hierarchical differentiation increases group effectiveness

R Ronay, K Greenaway, EM Anicich… - Psychological …, 2012 - journals.sagepub.com
Two experiments examined the psychological and biological antecedents of hierarchical
differentiation and the resulting consequences for productivity and conflict within small …

Overconfidence and financial decision-making: a meta-analysis

M Grežo - Review of Behavioral Finance, 2021 - emerald.com
Purpose This meta-analysis reviews and summarizes the results of 34 studies to investigate
the relationship between overconfidence and financial decision-making …

A potential pitfall of passion: Passion is associated with performance overconfidence

ER Bailey, K Krautter, W Wu… - Social …, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
Having passion is almost universally lauded. People strive to follow their passion at work,
and organizations increasingly seek out passionate employees. Supporting the benefits of …

Playing the trump card: Why we select overconfident leaders and why it matters

R Ronay, JK Oostrom, N Lehmann-Willenbrock… - The Leadership …, 2019 - Elsevier
Five studies test the relationship between overconfidence and perceived leadership
suitability. Study 1, a field study wherein HR consultants assessed candidates for an …

Overconfidence: A common psychological attribute of entrepreneurs which leads to firm failure

RP Singh - New England Journal of Entrepreneurship, 2020 - emerald.com
Purpose There has been significant growth in entrepreneurship research over the past
several decades. Yet with all of the knowledge gained and presumably improved training of …

Overprecision is a property of thinking systems.

DA Moore - Psychological Review, 2023 - psycnet.apa.org
Overprecision is the excessive certainty in the accuracy of one's judgment. This article
proposes a new theory to explain it. The theory holds that overprecision in judgment results …

The persistence of miscalibration

M Boutros, I Ben-David, JR Graham, CR Harvey… - 2020 - nber.org
ABSTRACT Using 14,800 forecasts of one-year S&P 500 returns made by Chief Financial
Officers over a 12-year period, we track the individual executives who provide multiple …

“Yes, we know!”(Over) confidence in general knowledge among Austrian entrepreneurs

V Ilieva, T Brudermann, L Drakulevski - Plos one, 2018 - journals.plos.org
Overconfidence has been reported to be a common bias among entrepreneurs and might be
one cause of the high failure rates observed for new ventures. In this study, we investigate …