Automatic precursor recognition and real-time forecasting of sudden explosive volcanic eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand

DE Dempsey, SJ Cronin, S Mei… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
Sudden steam-driven eruptions strike without warning and are a leading cause of fatalities
at touristic volcanoes. Recent deaths following the 2019 Whakaari eruption in New Zealand …

Method selection in short-term eruption forecasting

MG Whitehead, MS Bebbington - Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal …, 2021 - Elsevier
For accurate and timely information on the evolving state of our volcanoes we need reliable
short-term forecasts. These forecasts directly impact crisis management from evacuations …

Large-scale thermal unrest of volcanoes for years prior to eruption

T Girona, V Realmuto, P Lundgren - Nature Geoscience, 2021 - nature.com
Identifying the observables that warn of volcanic eruptions is a major challenge in natural
hazard management. A potentially important observable is the release of heat through …

Seismic precursors to the Whakaari 2019 phreatic eruption are transferable to other eruptions and volcanoes

A Ardid, D Dempsey, C Caudron, S Cronin - Nature communications, 2022 - nature.com
Volcanic eruptions that occur without warning can be deadly in touristic and populated
areas. Even with real-time geophysical monitoring, forecasting sudden eruptions is difficult …

[HTML][HTML] Statistical retrieval of volcanic activity in long time series orbital data: Implications for forecasting future activity

MS Ramsey, C Corradino, JO Thompson… - Remote Sensing of …, 2023 - Elsevier
Several high spatial resolution thermal infrared (TIR) missions are planned for the coming
decade and their data will be crucial to constrain volcanic activity patterns throughout pre …

Using template matching to detect hidden fluid release episodes Beneath Crater Lakes in Ruapehu, Copahue, and Kawah Ijen Volcanoes

A Ardid, D Dempsey, C Caudron… - Journal of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Volcano crater lakes, while picturesque, can sometimes mask the occurrence of small
eruptions or hydrothermal fluid release events. However, these seemingly hidden events …

Phreatic and hydrothermal eruptions: from overlooked to looking over

C Montanaro, E Mick, J Salas-Navarro, C Caudron… - Bulletin of …, 2022 - Springer
Over the last decade, field investigations, laboratory experiments, geophysical exploration
and petrological, geochemical and numerical modelling have provided insight into the …

Evaluation of short-term probabilistic eruption forecasting at Whakaari, New Zealand

DE Dempsey, AW Kempa-Liehr, A Ardid, A Li… - Bulletin of …, 2022 - Springer
Phreatic explosions at volcanoes are difficult to forecast but can be locally devastating, as
illustrated by the deadly 2019 Whakaari (New Zealand) eruption. Quantifying eruption …

Origin of shallow volcanic tremor: the dynamics of gas pockets trapped beneath thin permeable media

T Girona, C Caudron, C Huber - Journal of Geophysical …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Linking volcano‐seismic signals with subsurface processes is crucial to improve the
forecasting of volcanic eruptions. One of the most enigmatic signals is shallow volcanic …

Hydrothermal fluids and where to find them: Using seismic attenuation and anisotropy to map fluids beneath Uturuncu volcano, Bolivia

TS Hudson, JM Kendall, JD Blundy… - Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Map** fluid accumulation in the crust is pertinent for numerous applications including
volcanic hazard assessment, geothermal energy generation, and mineral exploration. Here …