Key message Adaptation of forest management to climate change requires an
understanding of the effects of climate on forests, industries and communities; prediction of …

We synthesize insights from current understanding of drought impacts at stand‐to‐
biogeographic scales, including management options, and we identify challenges to be …

Tree species are expected to track warming climate by shifting their ranges to higher
latitudes or elevations, but current evidence of latitudinal range shifts for suites of species is …

Dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are powerful tools to project past, current and
future vegetation patterns and associated biogeochemical cycles. However, most models …

State–space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological
time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics …

Atmospheric dryness, as indicated by vapor pressure deficit (VPD), has a strong influence
on forest greenhouse gas exchange with the atmosphere. In this study, we used long‐term …

Probabilistic forecasts of species distribution and abundance require models that
accommodate the range of ecological data, including a joint distribution of multiple species …

Significant questions remain about how ecosystems that are structured by abiotic stress will
be affected by climate change. Warmer temperatures are hypothesized to shift species along …

Tree mortality, growth, and recruitment are essential components of forest dynamics and
resiliency, for which there is great concern as climate change progresses at high latitudes …

Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate
biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this …