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[HTML][HTML] Optimal reservoir operation and risk analysis of agriculture water supply considering encounter uncertainty of precipitation in irrigation area and runoff from …
S Zhang, Y Kang, X Gao, P Chen, X Cheng… - Agricultural Water …, 2023 - Elsevier
The precipitation in irrigation area and the runoff from upstream can reflect the natural and
irrigated agriculture water supply situations. The wetness–dryness encounter uncertainty of …
irrigated agriculture water supply situations. The wetness–dryness encounter uncertainty of …
Hydrologic risk analysis in the Yangtze River basin through coupling Gaussian mixtures into copulas
In this study, a bivariate hydrologic risk framework is proposed through coupling Gaussian
mixtures into copulas, leading to a coupled GMM-copula method. In the coupled GMM …
mixtures into copulas, leading to a coupled GMM-copula method. In the coupled GMM …
[HTML][HTML] Bivariate nonstationary extreme flood risk estimation using mixture distribution and copula function for the Longmen reservoir, North China
Q Li, H Zeng, P Liu, Z Li, W Yu, H Zhou - Water, 2022 - mdpi.com
Recently, the homogenous flood generating mechanism assumption has become
questionable due to changes in the underlying surface. In addition, flood is a multifaced …
questionable due to changes in the underlying surface. In addition, flood is a multifaced …
[HTML][HTML] 变化环境下非一致性水文频率分析研究综述
熊立华， 江聪， 杜涛， 郭生练， 许崇育 - Journal of Water Resources …, 2015 - hanspub.org
水文频率分析计算是水利工程规划设计, 施工以及运行管理的基础工作, 传统的水文频率分析
计算的一个基本前提是水文序列满足一致性假设. **几十年来, 受气候变化和人类活动影响 …
计算的一个基本前提是水文序列满足一致性假设. **几十年来, 受气候变化和人类活动影响 …
梯级水库设计洪水最可能地区组成法计算通式
刘章君， 郭生练， **天元， 徐长江 - 水科学进展, 2014 - skxjz.nhri.cn
利用Copula 函数建立各分区洪水的联合分布, 基于联合概率密度最大原则, 推导得到最可能地区
组成法的计算通式, 并用来推求梯级水库下游断面的设计洪水. 选择清江流域水布垭-隔河岩 …
组成法的计算通式, 并用来推求梯级水库下游断面的设计洪水. 选择清江流域水布垭-隔河岩 …
Comparative study on probabilistic ensemble flood forecasting considering precipitation forecasts for the Three Gorges Reservoir
H BA, S GUO, Y ZHONG, Z LIU, X WU… - Advances in Water …, 2019 - skxjz.nhri.cn
To investigate how uncertainty in precipitation forecasts impacts flood forecasting, the
THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data extracted from the China …
THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data extracted from the China …
考虑降水预报的三峡入库洪水集合概率预报方法比较
巴欢欢， 郭生练， 钟逸轩， 刘章君， 吴旭树， 何绍坤 - 水科学进展, 2019 - skxjz.nhri.cn
为了考虑预见期内降水预报的不确定性对洪水预报的影响, 采用**气象局,
美国环境预测中心和欧洲中期天气预报中心的TIGGE (THORPEX Interactive Grand Global …
美国环境预测中心和欧洲中期天气预报中心的TIGGE (THORPEX Interactive Grand Global …
[PDF][PDF] 设计洪水峰量最可能组合法的计算通式
尹家波， 郭生练， 刘章君， **丹， 陈柯兵 - 工程科学与技术, 2017 - researchgate.net
对于传统的多变量分析方法, 给定某一联合重现期. 满足防洪标准的峰量组合形式有无数多种,
但不同联合设计值得到的洪水过程线及水库最高调洪水位均存在较大的差异 …
但不同联合设计值得到的洪水过程线及水库最高调洪水位均存在较大的差异 …
General formula derivation of most likely regional composition method for design flood estimation of cascade reservoirs system
Z LIU, S GUO, T LI, C XU - Advances in Water Science, 2014 - skxjz.nhri.cn
In this study the joint probability distributions of floods at all sub-basins of cascade reservoirs
were established using Copula function and based on the principle of maximizing joint …
were established using Copula function and based on the principle of maximizing joint …
基于 Copula 函数的大坝洪水漫顶风险率计算
刘章君， 许新发， 成静清， 温天福， 张范**， 徐珺恺 - 水力发电学报, 2019 - slfdxb.cn
洪水漫顶风险率分析计算对于大坝风险管理具有重要意义. 本文基于Copula
函数计算大坝洪水漫顶风险率, 并分析不同Copula 函数及峰量相关性对漫顶风险率的影响 …
函数计算大坝洪水漫顶风险率, 并分析不同Copula 函数及峰量相关性对漫顶风险率的影响 …