[HTML][HTML] Pollen-based climate reconstruction techniques for late Quaternary studies

M Chevalier, BAS Davis, O Heiri, H Seppä… - Earth-Science …, 2020 - Elsevier
Fossil pollen records are well-established indicators of past vegetation changes. The
prevalence of pollen across environmental settings including lakes, wetlands, and marine …

Joint palaeoclimate reconstruction from pollen data via forward models and climate histories

AC Parnell, J Haslett, J Sweeney, TK Doan… - Quaternary Science …, 2016 - Elsevier
We present a method and software for reconstructing palaeoclimate from pollen data with a
focus on accounting for and reducing uncertainty. The tools we use include: forward models …

Modelling excess zeros in count data: A new perspective on modelling approaches

J Haslett, AC Parnell, J Hinde… - International …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We consider the analysis of count data in which the observed frequency of zero counts is
unusually large, typically with respect to the Poisson distribution. We focus on two alternative …

Bayesian inference for palaeoclimate with time uncertainty and stochastic volatility

AC Parnell, J Sweeney, TK Doan… - Journal of the Royal …, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We propose and fit a Bayesian model to infer palaeoclimate over several thousand years.
The data that we use arise as ancient pollen counts taken from sediment cores together with …

Statistical challenges in estimating past climate changes

J Sweeney, M Salter‐Townshend… - Wiley …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
We review the statistical methods currently in use to estimate past changes in climate. These
methods encompass the full gamut of statistical modeling approaches, ranging from simple …

A Bayesian multinomial regression model for palaeoclimate reconstruction with time uncertainty

L Ilvonen, L Holmström, H Seppä, S Veski - Environmetrics, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Estimating chronological uncertainty is a critical but often neglected prerequisite in
palaeoclimatological reconstructions and core comparisons. We describe a hierarchical …

Cross‐validation based assessment of a new Bayesian palaeoclimate model

S Mukhopadhyay, S Bhattacharya - Environmetrics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Fossil‐based palaeoclimate reconstruction is an important area of ecological science that
has gained momentum in the backdrop of the global climate change debate. The …

Predicting paleoclimate from compositional data using multivariate Gaussian process inverse prediction

JR Tipton, MB Hooten, C Nolan, RK Booth… - The Annals of Applied …, 2019 - JSTOR
Multivariate compositional count data arise in many applications including ecology,
microbiology, genetics and paleoclimate. A frequent question in the analysis of multivariate …

The zero & -inflated binomial distribution with applications

J Sweeney, J Haslett, AC Parnell - arxiv preprint arxiv:1407.0064, 2014 - arxiv.org
In this article we consider the distribution arising when two zero-inflated Poisson count
processes are constrained by their sum total, resulting in a novel zero & $ N $-inflated …

A general framework for modelling zero inflation

J Haslett, A Parnell, J Sweeney - arxiv preprint arxiv:1805.00555, 2018 - arxiv.org
We propose a new framework for the modelling of count data exhibiting zero inflation (ZI).
The main part of this framework includes a new and more general parameterisation for ZI …