Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models

KL Yates, PJ Bouchet, MJ Caley, K Mengersen… - Trends in ecology & …, 2018 - cell.com
Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

[BOOK][B] Joint species distribution modelling: With applications in R

O Ovaskainen, N Abrego - 2020 - books.google.com
Joint species distribution modelling (JSDM) is a fast-develo** field and promises to
revolutionise how data on ecological communities are analysed and interpreted. Written for …

A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels

A Norberg, N Abrego, FG Blanchet… - Ecological …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
A large array of species distribution model (SDM) approaches has been developed for
explaining and predicting the occurrences of individual species or species assemblages …

The emergence and promise of functional biogeography

C Violle, PB Reich, SW Pacala… - Proceedings of the …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
Understanding, modeling, and predicting the impact of global change on ecosystem
functioning across biogeographical gradients can benefit from enhanced capacity to …

What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?

C Merow, MJ Smith, TC Edwards Jr, A Guisan… - …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to explain and predict species ranges
and environmental niches. They are most commonly constructed by inferring species' …

A quantitative synthesis of the importance of variables used in MaxEnt species distribution models

J Bradie, B Leung - Journal of Biogeography, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Aim To synthesize the species distribution modelling (SDM) literature to inform which
variables have been used in MaxEnt models for different taxa and to quantify how frequently …

Higher-order interactions capture unexplained complexity in diverse communities

MM Mayfield, DB Stouffer - Nature ecology & evolution, 2017 - nature.com
Natural communities are well known to be maintained by many complex processes. Despite
this, the practical aspects of studying them often require some simplification, such as the …

Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography

DG Gavin, MC Fitzpatrick, PF Gugger… - New …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Climate refugia, locations where taxa survive periods of regionally adverse climate, are
thought to be critical for maintaining biodiversity through the glacial–interglacial climate …

Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change

ML DeMarche, DF Doak, WF Morris - Global Change Biology, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Populations of many species are genetically adapted to local historical climate conditions.
Yet most forecasts of species' distributions under climate change have ignored local …