Uncertainty quantification in scientific machine learning: Methods, metrics, and comparisons

AF Psaros, X Meng, Z Zou, L Guo… - Journal of Computational …, 2023 - Elsevier
Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to
combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way …

A survey on uncertainty reasoning and quantification in belief theory and its application to deep learning

Z Guo, Z Wan, Q Zhang, X Zhao, Q Zhang, LM Kaplan… - Information …, 2024 - Elsevier
An in-depth understanding of uncertainty is the first step to making effective decisions under
uncertainty. Machine/deep learning (ML/DL) has been hugely leveraged to solve complex …

Collecting cross-modal presence-absence evidence for weakly-supervised audio-visual event perception

J Gao, M Chen, C Xu - … of the IEEE/CVF Conference on …, 2023 - openaccess.thecvf.com
With only video-level event labels, this paper targets at the task of weakly-supervised audio-
visual event perception (WS-AVEP), which aims to temporally localize and categorize events …

Vectorized evidential learning for weakly-supervised temporal action localization

J Gao, M Chen, C Xu - IEEE transactions on pattern analysis …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
With the explosive growth of videos, weakly-supervised temporal action localization (WS-
TAL) task has become a promising research direction in pattern analysis and machine …

Evora: Deep evidential traversability learning for risk-aware off-road autonomy

X Cai, S Ancha, L Sharma, PR Osteen… - IEEE Transactions …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Traversing terrain with good traction is crucial for achieving fast off-road navigation. Instead
of manually designing costs based on terrain features, existing methods learn terrain …

Natural posterior network: Deep bayesian uncertainty for exponential family distributions

B Charpentier, O Borchert, D Zügner, S Geisler… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Uncertainty awareness is crucial to develop reliable machine learning models. In this work,
we propose the Natural Posterior Network (NatPN) for fast and high-quality uncertainty …

A Comprehensive Survey on Evidential Deep Learning and Its Applications

J Gao, M Chen, L **ang, C Xu - arxiv preprint arxiv:2409.04720, 2024 - arxiv.org
Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial
deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as …

Second-order uncertainty quantification: A distance-based approach

Y Sale, V Bengs, M Caprio… - Forty-first International …, 2023 - openreview.net
In the past couple of years, various approaches to representing and quantifying different
types of predictive uncertainty in machine learning, notably in the setting of classification …

Learn to accumulate evidence from all training samples: theory and practice

DS Pandey, Q Yu - International Conference on Machine …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Evidential deep learning, built upon belief theory and subjective logic, offers a principled
and computationally efficient way to turn a deterministic neural network uncertainty-aware …

Uncertainty estimation for molecules: Desiderata and methods

T Wollschläger, N Gao, B Charpentier… - International …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Abstract Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are promising surrogates for quantum mechanical
calculations as they establish unprecedented low errors on collections of molecular …