Temporal Graph Network for continuous-time dynamic event sequence

K Cheng, J Ye, X Lu, L Sun, B Du - Knowledge-Based Systems, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph (CTDG) methods have shown their superior
ability in learning representations for dynamic graph-structured data, the methods split the …

Information Cascade Popularity Prediction via Probabilistic Diffusion

Z Cheng, F Zhou, X Xu, K Zhang… - … on Knowledge and …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Information cascade popularity prediction is an important problem in social network content
diffusion analysis. Various facets have been investigated (eg, diffusion structures and …

CasFT: Future Trend Modeling for Information Popularity Prediction with Dynamic Cues-Driven Diffusion Models

X **g, Y **g, Y Lu, B Deng, X Chen… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
The rapid spread of diverse information on online social platforms has prompted both
academia and industry to realize the importance of predicting content popularity, which …

Combining macro and micro: feature-driven dynamic graph learning for social media popularity prediction

Y Wang, D Li, J Sun, Y Kun, Y Jiang, Y Zhang, J Cao - World Wide Web, 2025 - Springer
Popularity prediction, which aims to predict the diffusion size of a information cascade, plays
a crucial role in understanding the diffusion dynamics and enabling various applications in …

On Your Mark, Get Set, Predict! Modeling Continuous-Time Dynamics of Cascades for Information Popularity Prediction

X **g, Y **g, Y Lu, B Deng, S Yang… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Information popularity prediction is important yet challenging in various domains, including
viral marketing and news recommendations. The key to accurately predicting information …

Before It's Too Late: A State Space Model for the Early Prediction of Misinformation and Disinformation Engagement

L Tian, E Booth, F Bailo, J Droogan… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2025 - arxiv.org
In today's digital age, conspiracies and information campaigns can emerge rapidly and
erode social and democratic cohesion. While recent deep learning approaches have made …

Improving Temporal Link Prediction via Temporal Walk Matrix Projection

X Lu, L Sun, T Zhu, W Lv - arxiv preprint arxiv:2410.04013, 2024 - arxiv.org
Temporal link prediction, aiming at predicting future interactions among entities based on
historical interactions, is crucial for a series of real-world applications. Although previous …

Continuous Dynamic Modeling via Neural ODEs for Popularity Trajectory Prediction

S Yang, Z Zhao, Z Chen, H Zhang, T Xu… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Popularity prediction for information cascades has significant applications across various
domains, including opinion monitoring and advertising recommendations. While most …

[PDF][PDF] Modeling personalized retweeting behaviors for multi-stage cascade popularity prediction

M Zhou, Y Lin, G Liu, Z Li, H Liao, R Mao - Proceedings of the Thirty-Third …, 2024 - ijcai.org
Predicting the size of message cascades is critical in various applications, such as online
advertising and early detection of rumors. However, most existing deep learning approaches …

HierCas: Hierarchical Temporal Graph Attention Networks for Popularity Prediction in Information Cascades

Z Zhang, X **e, Y Zhang, L Zhang… - 2024 International Joint …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Information cascade popularity prediction is critical for many applications, including but not
limited to identifying fake news and accurate recommendations. Traditional feature-based …